Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?

This prediction market asks whether the S&P 500 (SPX) will print a 1-minute regular-hours low at or below 6,300 at any point through the final trading day of June 2026. It resolves on June 30, 2026, using Yahoo Finance 1-minute data, with $12,893 in smart money tracked and recent signals showing a sharp wallet joining the No side.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,955.

Categories: S&P 500, Indicies, Finance, Monthly, S&P, SPX

Notable Trades

Sharp wallet joins No cluster

Surface: a profitable 79% winner joined a 3-wallet one-sided No cluster amid a 71x volume spike on a relatively thin SPX level market.

  • A bettor who wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $121,835 joined the No side.
  • Three wallets bought $12,893 of No within minutes, a concentrated one-sided push.
  • Volume spiked 71x versus the recent average while liquidity is only about $2,109.

$12,893 on No

Profitable macro whale

A profitable 94% win-rate wallet placed a $16K No bet that dwarfs this quiet market’s normal daily volume.

  • This bettor has won 17 of 18 resolved bets and is up about $17.9K lifetime.
  • The $16K No bet is nearly 4x this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet order book.
  • Entry at 84¢ implies a ~19% return if SPX avoids hitting 6,300 in June.

$16,062 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc3c3...eec8 — Yes, $38,070 (99% win rate)
  2. 0x6f6b...1ab6 — No, $19,128 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xe734...8f6a — No, $8,399 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x1a37...6984 — No, $3,538 (83% win rate)
  5. 0xe1da...18a7 — No, $3,174 (40% win rate)
  6. 0x3b63...27a7 — No, $3,161 (79% win rate)
  7. 0xe0a9...c455 — No, $3,053
  8. 0xe7a3...e60a — Yes, $2,778
  9. 0x5226...8554 — No, $2,562 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x6f2a...de7d — Yes, $2,522

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?

40dWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?$28,955 tracked2 signalsS&P 500IndiciesFinanceMonthlyS&PSPX
Yes
14¢
No
87¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.

Price History — “No”
92¢
87¢
81¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?

2d ago

$12,893 on No at 86¢

86¢→87¢↑1¢

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?

2d ago

$16,062 on No at 84¢

84¢→87¢↑3¢