Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of June 1 2026?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 1 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of June 1 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,489.

Categories: Finance, Weekly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Stocks, Equities, SPY, Rewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1)

Notable Trades

Serial trader near close

Surfacing because a high-volume serial cross-market trader placed a sizable near-resolution No bet, though the wallet’s negative lifetime P&L makes this a timing/conviction signal rather than a proven sharp-wallet copy.

  • This high-volume trader has bet across 73 markets and over $1M in related cross-market positions.
  • They bought $5.9k of No just 39 minutes before resolution, large versus about $2.1k of listed liquidity.
  • The trade entered at 79¢ and the market has already moved to 82¢, but the wallet is down lifetime despite a 71% hit rate.

$5,871 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Serial trader near expiry

Surface as a near-resolution, high-conviction No buy from a very active cross-market trader, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is negative so this is more of a timing/market-structure trade than a proven sharp follow.

  • This active trader has bet across 72 related markets and is taking a $3.6K No position near expiry.
  • The buy came 56 minutes before resolution at 90¢, suggesting confidence the threshold will not be hit.
  • The trade was large for the market, reportedly over 3x recent 24h volume at detection time.

$3,618 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0681...f713 Yes, $83,028 (31% win rate)
  2. 0x7804...7025 No, $62,243 (71% win rate)
  3. 0xe807...4d35 No, $5,482 (76% win rate)
  4. 0x731a...04bd No, $4,375
  5. 0x9157...626b No, $3,500 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xd01f...ce7a No, $2,968 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x2a12...37ca Yes, $1,168
  8. 0xc7d0...1f8a No, $1,162
  9. 0xfcc6...bb12 No, $1,149
  10. 0xe617...f251 No, $1,021 (95% win rate)

Related Theses

Knicks Thunder or Spurs win

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SPY stays above $730

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Spencer Pratt wins LA mayor

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SPY stays between 730 and 750

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Spencer Pratt wins first round

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Bass and Raman advance

Covers 2 related markets

NVDA stays above $192

Covers 1 related market

Starmer exits before July 2026

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Covers 1 related market

Smalley won't win PGA

Covers 1 related market

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 1 2026?

ResolvedWhat will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of June 1 2026?$9,489 tracked2 signalsFinanceWeeklyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceStocksEquitiesSPYRewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1)
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of June 1 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Price History — “No
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 1 2026?

1h ago

$5,871 on No at 79¢

79¢100¢21¢

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 1 2026?

1h ago

$3,618 on No at 90¢

90¢100¢10¢

Related Theses