Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?
This Polymarket asks whether Sam Burns will win the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. The market resolves to Yes only if Burns is the official winner under Masters rules; otherwise it resolves to No, with a fallback to Other if no winner is announced by December 31, 2026. Traders are using this market to price Burns’ chances ahead of the 2026 Masters, with smart money activity already showing up in the market.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,250.
Categories: Sports, Golf, PGA TOUR, The Masters, invitational, augusta
Notable Trades
4-wallet funded cluster
A 4-wallet funded cluster put $16.25k behind the same side during a huge volume spike, and this wallet is a very active cross-market trader adding a sizeable position in a liquid golf market.
- Four wallets funded by the same source put $16.3k on the same thesis, including this $5k buy.
- Market activity jumped 321x versus normal and the price has risen 8.1 points in a day, showing strong recent flow.
- This wallet trades heavily across related markets with nearly $970k deployed, suggesting a practiced event trader rather than a one-off bettor.
$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%
4-wallet funded cluster
A profitable high-volume trader from a 4-wallet funded cluster bought No in a surging Masters market, adding coordinated flow to a liquid golf outright.
- This wallet has a long track record: 61% wins across 3,142 resolved bets and $23k profit.
- Four wallets share the same funder and have put $16.3k into related trading, which signals coordinated conviction.
- The market is seeing unusual activity with volume running 321x normal, and this bet bought No at 88¢.
$1,250 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%
4-wallet golf fade cluster
A profitable high-volume cross-market bettor in a 4-wallet funded cluster is buying Sam Burns 'No' as this market sees an extreme volume spike, making the coordinated flow worth tracking.
- Four wallets funded by the same address have put $16.3k behind the same thesis here
- This bettor has 5,556 resolved bets, wins 59% of the time, and is up about $79.9k lifetime
- They bought No at 89¢ while market volume jumped 321x versus normal activity
$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $707,641
- 0xfea3...d227 — Yes, $153,850 (58% win rate)
- 0xdf98...0554 — Yes, $88,194
- 0x4608...d049 — Yes, $83,748 (33% win rate)
- 0x84db...aeeb — No, $42,346 (51% win rate)
- 0xea2b...1fc6 — No, $40,530 (65% win rate)
- 0x8e0b...9e5c — Yes, $40,000
- 0x85d7...0501 — Yes, $39,488
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Yes, $34,502 (51% win rate)
- 0x0e1d...0c53 — Yes, $30,000 (51% win rate)
