What does this San Jose Earthquakes prediction market cover?

This market covers whether San Jose Earthquakes will win their scheduled MLS match on April 11, 2026. Only the result at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts for resolution.

How does this Polymarket resolve if the match ends in a draw?

If the match ends in a draw after regular time and stoppage time, the market resolves to No. Extra time or penalty shootouts do not count unless the official market rules say otherwise.

What happens if the San Jose Earthquakes match is postponed or canceled?

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely and no make-up game is held, the market resolves to No.

When will this market resolve?

The expected resolution time is listed as April 12, 2026 UTC, after the April 11, 2026 match is completed and the official result is available from the resolution source.

Why are traders watching the No side of this market?

Recent smart money alerts show notable buying activity on No, including a 92% winner buy and a 79% win-rate event trader signal. Traders often use these signals as one input alongside team form, injuries, matchup data, and current Polymarket odds.

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-11?

This Polymarket asks whether San Jose Earthquakes will win their MLS match scheduled for April 11, 2026. The market resolves to Yes only if San Jose wins in regulation, including stoppage time, and resolves to No for a draw, loss, or a cancellation without a make-up game. It is set to resolve after the match is completed, with the listed resolution time of April 12, 2026 UTC.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 11, 2026 If San Jose Earthquakes wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,906.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, MLS

Notable Trades

92% winner buys No

A highly profitable 92% win-rate wallet bought No at 42¢ into a pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size on a liquid market.

This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up about $603k across 303 resolved positions.
They trade heavily across sports and event markets with over $1.3M invested, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
They bought No at 42¢ during a 327x volume surge, while the market still prices Yes at 58%.

$2,115 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

79% win-rate event trader

Profitable serial sports/event trader with a strong 79% hit rate bought into a major pre-event volume surge, suggesting informed conviction rather than routine flow.

This bettor wins 79% of their resolved trades and is up $381k lifetime.
They trade across many related markets — 56 markets in 44 events — which suggests a repeatable edge, not a one-off bet.
They bought Yes at 58¢ during a 327x pregame volume spike, with the market still moving higher over the last week.

$4,791 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%