Part of: SBV Excelsior vs. FC Volendam
Will SBV Excelsior vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?
This Polymarket market asks whether SBV Excelsior vs. FC Volendam will end in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on May 10, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,306 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, including alerts from high win-rate sports and soccer bettors. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until completion; if it is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves to Yes.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,389.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Eredivisie
Notable Trades
Elite 87% sports bettor
Proven high-edge sports bettor with an 87% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought No on the draw market at 76¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $546K lifetime.
- They have traded 123 markets across 98 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Buying No at 76¢ backs the game not ending in a draw, with tight 1¢ spread and strong liquidity.
$1,306 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
87% win-rate sports sharp
Proven high-edge sports/cross-market bettor with an 87% historical win rate is buying No at 76% on this draw market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $546K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 98 events, with $924K of similar event-level activity.
- Buying No at 76¢ suggests they see the match as more likely to avoid a draw than the market implies.
$1,306 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
87% win-rate sports sharp
Proven profitable sports bettor with an 87% historical win rate and extensive cross-market track record bought No on the draw at 76%.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $538K lifetime.
- They have a large sports track record across 98 events and 123 markets, with $922K in cross-market activity.
- Entry at 76¢ backs the match not ending in a draw, near current market pricing with a strong historical edge behind it.
$1,306 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
87% win-rate sports sharp
Proven high-edge sports/cross-market bettor bought No at 76¢, backed by an 87% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $538K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 98 events with $918K in tracked activity.
- Buying No at 76¢ signals confidence that the match will not end in a draw.
$1,306 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
87% winner soccer sharp
Sharp, highly profitable soccer bettor with an 87% historical win rate is buying No on the draw market at 76¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $536K lifetime.
- They have traded 97 related events and 122 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 76¢ backs the game not ending in a draw, with the market still showing a tight 2¢ spread.
$1,166 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x3f3a...e8fd — No, $21,320 (87% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Yes, $15,923 (50% win rate)
- 0x6d3c...d294 — Yes, $3,000 (51% win rate)
- 0xadfb...c2ef — Yes, $1,971
- 0x3b5c...126e — Yes, $417 (77% win rate)
- 0x0346...52a5 — No, $293 (52% win rate)
- 0x0673...ed8b — Yes, $176
- 0x059d...10e3 — No, $132
- 0xe5b1...30b2 — Yes, $82
- 0xa3f2...34d0 — Yes, $68 (42% win rate)
Related Theses
Guadalajara will not win
Covers 1 related market
