Part of: SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,852.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

3-wallet NO sweep

Three wallets piled into No with a sharp price jump and event-wide coordination, suggesting a strong shared thesis despite mixed individual track records.

  • Three wallets all bought No for $5.6k total as the market surged from low odds to 94%
  • One buyer got in at 11¢ and another at 34¢ before the move, showing early conviction ahead of the spike
  • These wallets are also active across 3 related markets with $21.5k behind the same event thesis

$5,623 on No

90% win-rate soccer bettor

A bettor with a 90% win rate and 1,000 resolved markets bought into a fast-moving soccer market after a sharp price swing, making this worth watching despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their bets across 1,000 resolved markets and is up $91k lifetime
  • They bought after a 23-point price swing in under 4 minutes, suggesting they were willing to step into fast-moving action
  • The market is active and liquid enough to matter, and their 47¢ entry is still close to the current 44¢ price

$1,263 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

4-wallet pregame pile-in

Four wallets piled nearly $19k into SC Freiburg Yes during a huge pre-match volume spike and sharp price move, led by one high-volume cross-market bettor with a solid 64% win rate across 297 events.

  • Four wallets bought nearly $19k on Yes together as market volume exploded 209x above normal.
  • One of the bettors has a 64% win rate across 297 events and more than $2.2M deployed, suggesting this is part of a repeatable sports process.
  • Most of the buys hit at 50-52¢ before the market jumped to 68¢, showing strong early conviction before the move.

$18,966 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 11187181, $10,728 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x5c44...5eef Outcome 11187181, $9,720
  3. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 11187181, $6,553 (64% win rate)
  4. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 92277809, $3,776
  5. 0xbb64...bfdc Outcome 11187181, $2,541 (70% win rate)
  6. 0xfbdd...a11b Outcome 11187181, $1,000
  7. 0x2652...2a1d Outcome 11187181, $819
  8. 0x469e...d9cc Outcome 11187181, $740
  9. 0x661d...4dc6 Outcome 11187181, $711 (68% win rate)
  10. 0x9422...fad6 Outcome 11187181, $500

Related Theses

Cubs beat the Braves

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

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Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?

ResolvedSC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München$25,852 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If SC Freiburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?

48d ago

$5,623 on No at 45¢

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?

48d ago

$1,263 on Yes at 47¢

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?

48d ago

$18,966 on Yes at 52¢

Related Theses