Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?
This Polymarket asks whether SC Freiburg will win on April 16, 2026, giving traders a real-time view of the market’s implied odds for a Freiburg victory. PolySpotter is currently tracking $54,864 in smart money across 2 signals, including a 10-wallet sharp cluster and a sharp wallet joining the No side. The market resolves based on whether SC Freiburg wins the match scheduled for that date.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $63,508.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEL
Notable Trades
10-wallet sharp cluster
Ten wallets piled into Yes for nearly $53k while the market jumped over 30 points, and several of the buyers are proven high-volume winners with strong long-run records.
- 10 wallets bought Yes for $52.9k and pushed the price up about 31 points, showing strong one-sided conviction.
- Several buyers have standout records, including wallets with 84%, 85%, and 74% win rates and one up $4.6M lifetime.
- The biggest buys came at 85-88¢, suggesting this group was still willing to pay up late for a heavy favorite.
$52,877 on Yes
Sharp wallet joins No cluster
A profitable bettor with a 79% win rate joined 3 other wallets buying No as the market moved sharply, creating a coordinated directional signal worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 79% of their trades and is up $12.3k on $61.1k invested
- 4 wallets all bought No for $8.9k total, showing coordinated conviction
- The market moved 25 points on the No side, and this wallet still entered at 78¢
$1,987 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Last-second sports cluster
Three wallets piled into No within minutes of resolution in a live sports market, including a serial cross-market account with massive history and a 100% recorded hit rate profile, making this a strong real-time edge signal.
- Three wallets bought No for $8.6k right at the finish, including bets placed about 20 seconds before resolution.
- One wallet has traded 499 markets across 496 events, and another shows 510 wins in 510 resolved bets.
- They paid 78¢ for No, suggesting they saw Freiburg’s win chance as even lower than the market implied.
$8,644 on No
Top Holders
- 0x7d2f...ef1a — Outcome 30002610, $20,642 (52% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 30002610, $7,700 (66% win rate)
- 0x6945...729c — Outcome 30002610, $5,601
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 30002610, $3,223
- 0x5aa9...febe — Outcome 30002610, $3,097
- 0x60ac...6439 — Outcome 66060201, $3,000
- 0xfb51...742d — Outcome 66060201, $2,988 (74% win rate)
- 0xede0...ff11 — Outcome 30002610, $2,547 (79% win rate)
- 0x1fd0...93ac — Outcome 30002610, $2,036 (85% win rate)
- 0x4b49...0397 — Outcome 30002610, $2,000 (75% win rate)