Part of: VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $81,464.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, DFB-Pokal

Notable Trades

Proven sharp sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.4M P&L is buying Yes at 43¢, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite the modest bet size.

  • This bettor has won 2,522 of 3,474 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
  • They trade across many related markets at scale — 929 events and $8.6M wagered
  • Bought Yes at 43¢ while the market had already moved sharply, suggesting they still see value below 44¢

$1,688 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

83% win-rate sports bettor

Surface this because a proven 83% win-rate sports bettor with large cross-market activity bought No in a match market during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 83% of their resolved trades and has made nearly $25.5k profit across 109 settled bets
  • They trade heavily across related events: 89 events and 96 markets for about $676.9k total volume
  • They bought No at 80¢ while market activity surged 242x above normal before kickoff

$1,590 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly active, profitable sports trader with nearly 5,000 resolved bets bought No before a major volume surge, and the price has already moved in their favor.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 4,911 resolved trades and is up $688k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related events, with 68 events and $356k flagged by the cross-market signal
  • Bought No at 78¢ and the market is already at 82¢ after a 242x volume spike

$1,513 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

5-wallet No cluster

Five wallets piled $73k into No in a short burst, including at least two profitable serial cross-market bettors, creating a strong coordinated sports signal in a market they pushed from 78¢ to 80¢.

  • Five wallets bought $73k of No within minutes, a strong one-sided push on the same outcome.
  • Two wallets have solid records, including one bettor winning 83% of 109 resolved bets and another up $688k lifetime.
  • They entered around 78¢ and the market is now 80¢, showing immediate follow-through after the buying.

$73,127 on No

83% win-rate sports bettor

An 83% win-rate serial cross-market trader put $3.5k on No in a modestly active soccer market, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite only moderate composite score.

  • This bettor wins 83% of their resolved trades across 109 bets and has tracked 88 events.
  • They bought No with $3.5k at 80¢, a sizable position versus this market's $9.1k 24-hour volume.
  • The market is liquid enough to take seriously, but not so deep that a proven bettor's position looks routine.

$3,545 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb07f...a5cf Outcome 83122646, $35,891
  2. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 83122646, $7,595 (62% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 83122646, $4,013 (68% win rate)
  4. 0x525e...0b73 Outcome 83122646, $2,667
  5. 0x62ff...6b66 Outcome 83122646, $1,179 (60% win rate)
  6. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 46284386, $1,160
  7. 0x0b69...e65d Outcome 83122646, $970
  8. 0x32d4...e54e Outcome 83122646, $970
  9. 0x4358...8d51 Outcome 83122646, $970
  10. 0xc455...1532 Outcome 83122646, $970

Related Theses

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Covers 4 related markets

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23?

ResolvedVfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg$81,464 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerDFB-Pokal

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 23, 2026 If SC Freiburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23?

45d ago

$1,688 on Yes at 43¢

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23?

45d ago

$1,590 on No at 80¢

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23?

45d ago

$1,513 on No at 78¢

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23?

45d ago

$73,127 on No at 78¢

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23?

45d ago

$3,545 on No at 80¢

Related Theses