Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 23, 2026 If SC Freiburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $81,464.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, DFB-Pokal

Notable Trades

Proven sharp sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.4M P&L is buying Yes at 43¢, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite the modest bet size.

  • This bettor has won 2,522 of 3,474 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
  • They trade across many related markets at scale — 929 events and $8.6M wagered
  • Bought Yes at 43¢ while the market had already moved sharply, suggesting they still see value below 44¢

$1,688 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

83% win-rate sports bettor

Surface this because a proven 83% win-rate sports bettor with large cross-market activity bought No in a match market during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 83% of their resolved trades and has made nearly $25.5k profit across 109 settled bets
  • They trade heavily across related events: 89 events and 96 markets for about $676.9k total volume
  • They bought No at 80¢ while market activity surged 242x above normal before kickoff

$1,590 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly active, profitable sports trader with nearly 5,000 resolved bets bought No before a major volume surge, and the price has already moved in their favor.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 4,911 resolved trades and is up $688k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related events, with 68 events and $356k flagged by the cross-market signal
  • Bought No at 78¢ and the market is already at 82¢ after a 242x volume spike

$1,513 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

5-wallet No cluster

Five wallets piled $73k into No in a short burst, including at least two profitable serial cross-market bettors, creating a strong coordinated sports signal in a market they pushed from 78¢ to 80¢.

  • Five wallets bought $73k of No within minutes, a strong one-sided push on the same outcome.
  • Two wallets have solid records, including one bettor winning 83% of 109 resolved bets and another up $688k lifetime.
  • They entered around 78¢ and the market is now 80¢, showing immediate follow-through after the buying.

$73,127 on No

83% win-rate sports bettor

An 83% win-rate serial cross-market trader put $3.5k on No in a modestly active soccer market, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite only moderate composite score.

  • This bettor wins 83% of their resolved trades across 109 bets and has tracked 88 events.
  • They bought No with $3.5k at 80¢, a sizable position versus this market's $9.1k 24-hour volume.
  • The market is liquid enough to take seriously, but not so deep that a proven bettor's position looks routine.

$3,545 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa2b5...4582 Yes, $99,796 (43% win rate)
  2. 0xa49b...4c40 No, $43,694 (89% win rate)
  3. 0x204f...5e14 No, $40,529 (55% win rate)
  4. 0xb07f...a5cf Yes, $35,891
  5. 0x2a2c...9bc1 No, $25,997 (51% win rate)
  6. 0xf59d...8f85 No, $21,976
  7. 0xbdb0...f8ba No, $16,961 (83% win rate)
  8. 0xf641...7b6f Yes, $14,226 (73% win rate)
  9. 0x01c7...e995 No, $10,760 (67% win rate)
  10. 0x2005...75ea No, $10,561 (55% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23?

Resolved$81,464 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerDFB-Pokal
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 23, 2026 If SC Freiburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
102¢
90¢
79¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23?

1h ago

$1,688 on Yes at 43¢

43¢0¢43¢

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23?

2h ago

$1,590 on No at 80¢

80¢100¢20¢

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23?

2h ago

$1,513 on No at 78¢

78¢100¢22¢

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23?

2h ago

$73,127 on No at 78¢

78¢100¢22¢

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23?

2h ago

$3,545 on No at 80¢

80¢100¢20¢

Related Theses