Part of: SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If SC Freiburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,497.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

Linked wallets buying No

Strong coordinated No flow from three wallets, including a linked pair and a highly profitable whale, during an 802x pre-event volume spike.

Three wallets bought $28.5k of No within seconds, with two wallets sharing a funder.
The biggest buyer put in about $25.2k and is up $1.9M lifetime on Polymarket.
Market volume spiked 802x above its historical average, suggesting unusual pre-game positioning.

$28,459 on No

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 74% win rate and $1.33M lifetime profit bought No on Freiburg at 62¢.

This bettor has won 74% of 2,671 resolved bets and is up $1.33M lifetime.
They regularly bet across related sports markets, with 56 events and $264K tracked in cross-market activity.
Buying No at 62¢ goes against Freiburg’s recent price rise, suggesting a strong view despite market momentum toward Yes.

$1,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable serial soccer trader

Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Freiburg Yes at 38¢, with a long track record of $3.16M lifetime profit despite the modest trade size.

This bettor is up $3.16M lifetime across more than 13,000 resolved trades.
They have traded 560 markets across 358 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports strategy.
Entry at 38¢ implies they see Freiburg as underpriced despite the market already moving up 4 points today.

$1,073 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

$3.2M profitable serial trader

Proven high-volume profitable wallet with a strong cross-market track record bought Freiburg Yes at 37¢, despite only a moderate alert score.

This bettor wins 65% of resolved trades and is up about $3.16M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 357 events and 559 markets.
Entry at 37¢ implies a roughly 2.7x payout if Freiburg wins.

$1,465 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%