Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-12?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,862.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Brazil Serie A

Notable Trades

90% win-rate sports bettor

A high-win-rate sports bettor with 1,005 resolved bets bought No at 61¢ after a sharp move, making this a credible follow despite only one trade.

This bettor wins 90% of 1,005 resolved bets and is up $68k overall.
They bought No at 61¢ on a liquid market after a fast 15-point move, showing fresh conviction rather than routine noise.
Entry at 61¢ suggests they see Palmeiras as overpriced at the time of the trade.

$2,757 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable bettor chasing No

A highly profitable high-volume bettor bought No into a sharp pre-match volume and price move, suggesting informed momentum despite only moderate signal strength.

This bettor has made over 14,000 resolved bets and is up $1.25M lifetime
They bought No at 56¢ as market activity surged 31x above normal and price moved fast
The market is active but not overcrowded, so a $3.1k buy from a proven winner is still worth tracking

$3,067 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%

77% win-rate sports bettor

A bettor with a solid 77% win rate bought into a pre-match volume spike on Palmeiras, making this a modest but followable sports signal despite the small size.

This bettor wins 77% of their resolved trades, with 46 wins in 60 bets.
They bought during a 29x pre-match volume spike, suggesting broader money is flowing into this side.
The entry was 50¢, close to current pricing, so the trade is still reasonably copyable.

$1,038 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

0x84ad...bfb7 — Outcome 30149932, $9,509
0x664a...fc5f — Outcome 30149932, $5,443
0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 30149932, $3,792 (67% win rate)
0xea87...1ad7 — Outcome 30149932, $2,076 (77% win rate)
0x44c5...8d45 — Outcome 30149932, $1,854 (76% win rate)
0x629d...756c — Outcome 30149932, $1,331
0xbd73...4da1 — Outcome 30149932, $1,052 (50% win rate)
0x8f8a...f0b8 — Outcome 30149932, $976 (57% win rate)
0x310d...d698 — Outcome 30149932, $804 (63% win rate)
0x800a...0b4d — Outcome 30149932, $801

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-12?

Resolved$6,862 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerBrazil Serie A

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 12, 2026 If SE Palmeiras wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.