Part of: SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $34,259.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Brazil Serie A
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
Moderately interesting because a profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought No before a notable move from 69¢ to 76¢, though the bet size is modest for this liquid market.
- This bettor has traded 107 markets across 91 events and is up about $134k lifetime.
- They bought No at 69¢ and it is already trading near 76¢.
- The market has moved sharply against Palmeiras, with Yes down about 40 points over the past day.
$1,786 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No after a major move against Palmeiras, suggesting they are following a strong live-game or news-driven thesis.
- This bettor is up $132k across 201 resolved markets and has traded 90 different events.
- They bought No at 82¢ after the market moved sharply against Palmeiras.
- The price move is unusually large, with No jumping far beyond its prior 40¢ range.
$1,323 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp serial bettors buying Yes
Three wallets bought Yes together, led by highly profitable serial traders with strong long-run records, making this worth surfacing despite moderate size versus market liquidity.
- A bettor who wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.57M led the move with a $3.1K buy.
- Another profitable serial trader in the cluster has won 67% of over 11K resolved bets and is up $2.57M.
- Three wallets bought nearly $6K of Yes at 60¢ during a 43x pre-game volume spike.
$5,982 on Yes
85% winner buying YES
Elite 85% winning bettor with $1.57M profit is buying Palmeiras Yes amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.57M lifetime.
- They are a heavy sports/event trader with $4.5M deployed across 479 events.
- Entry at 60¢ comes during a 93x volume spike before the match.
$3,134 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Million-profit sports bettor buys NO
A profitable serial sports bettor is buying No on Palmeiras amid a sharp pre-event volume spike and slight market move against Yes.
- This bettor is up $1.1M lifetime across 265 resolved markets.
- They have traded 109 events and are taking the No side at 40¢.
- Market activity spiked 93x versus normal, while Palmeiras Yes has drifted down 3% today.
$6,573 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
25-for-25 sharp buying Yes
A proven 25-for-25 bettor with $193.9k profit and extensive cross-market history placed a $15.5k BUY Yes on Palmeiras at 62¢.
- This bettor has won 25 of 25 resolved trades and is up $193.9k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 45 events with $370k total deployed.
- The $15.5k Yes buy at 62¢ shows strong conviction despite Palmeiras drifting slightly lower recently.
$15,462 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xb6ee...0bd0 — Outcome 48616413, $25,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 48616413, $8,442 (76% win rate)
- 0x44c5...8d45 — Outcome 48616413, $7,880 (78% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 48616413, $7,105 (88% win rate)
- 0x310d...d698 — Outcome 48616413, $3,039 (73% win rate)
- 0x1250...8f99 — Outcome 48616413, $2,272 (77% win rate)
- 0xc1b6...c914 — Outcome 48616413, $1,699 (55% win rate)
- 0x8d93...b34d — Outcome 48616413, $1,034 (93% win rate)
- 0x0960...5adc — Outcome 48616413, $862 (46% win rate)
- 0x31f3...0eac — Outcome 48616413, $725
Related Theses
Timberwolves upset Spurs high-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
