Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-26?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,711.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Copa do Brasil

Notable Trades

Three-wallet No conviction cluster

Three wallets deployed nearly $30,000 on No during an extreme volume spike, pushing No from roughly 33% to 42% and signaling coordinated conviction.

Three wallets bought nearly $30,000 of No within minutes, creating a 2,438x historical volume spike.
The No price jumped from 33¢ to 42% after the purchases, confirming substantial market impact.
One wallet was already holding $44,321 of No and continued adding, indicating increased conviction rather than a one-off trade.

$29,833 on No

86% win-rate sharp scaling into Yes

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 86% win rate and substantial measured edge bought Palmeiras Yes despite the market moving down to 58%.

This bettor has won 86% of 521 resolved positions and is up $7.4 million overall.
The trader bought Yes at 65¢ while the market is now 58%, signaling strong conviction despite recent downward momentum.
A 2,438x pre-event volume spike accompanied the trade, adding unusual activity to an otherwise liquid market.

$1,649 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

92% winner buys Palmeiras No

A highly profitable, proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial cross-market experience made a fresh $2,876 BUY No position despite Palmeiras being favored.

This bettor has won 92% of 210 resolved trades and is up $3.27 million.
They made a fresh $2,876 BUY No position, opposing the market's 68% Yes price.
The wallet has traded across 265 markets and 234 events, suggesting substantial football-market experience.

$2,876 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

89% win-rate serial bettor buys Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $1,158 purchase at 61¢.

This bettor has won 135 of 152 resolved trades, with a 89% win rate at average odds near 60%.
The wallet is up $576,328 lifetime across $3.18 million invested and has traded 44 events.
The fresh $1,158 Yes position was entered at 61¢, below the current 62¢ market price.

$2,895 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Serial sharp scaling into No

A proven 77% bettor with a substantial edge is adding $1,300 to an existing No position after trading 59 events.

This bettor wins 77% of 153 resolved trades and is up nearly $55,000.
They are adding $1,300 to an existing No position, bringing their investment to $3,359 at 39¢.
The trade comes from a serial cross-market trader active across 59 events, with a reported 25% edge over implied odds.

$1,300 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

89% win-rate serial bettor buys Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $1,158 purchase at 61¢.

This bettor has won 135 of 152 resolved trades, with a 89% win rate at average odds near 60%.
The wallet is up $576,328 lifetime across $3.18 million invested and has traded 44 events.
The fresh $1,158 Yes position was entered at 61¢, below the current 62¢ market price.

$1,158 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

0xf5f9...87b0 — Outcome 11087645, $17,646 (93% win rate)
0xa700...102b — Outcome 11087645, $4,500 (55% win rate)
0x282f...7c4e — Outcome 11087645, $4,000 (87% win rate)
0x35c8...90cb — Outcome 11087645, $3,359 (77% win rate)
0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 11087645, $3,252 (70% win rate)
0xcf73...0215 — Outcome 11087645, $2,590 (58% win rate)
0x2d6a...8add — Outcome 11087645, $1,870 (59% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11087645, $847
0x224f...514a — Outcome 11087645, $600 (84% win rate)
0x02f8...2239 — Outcome 11087645, $471

Related Theses

Low-scoring Juárez keeps it close

Covers 3 related markets

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-26?

ResolvedSE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC$39,711 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerCopa do Brasil

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 26, 2026 If SE Palmeiras wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes”

66¢

63¢

60¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction