Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,167.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

83% winner backing No

Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with an 83% record and +24 percentage-point edge is buying No despite only a modest single win-rate signal.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $3.3k lifetime.
Their wins have beaten market odds by 24 percentage points across 18 resolved bets.
They put $3.5k on No at 87¢, backing the match not to end in a draw.

$3,480 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought No on the draw market amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has a long record: 62% wins and $3.5M profit across nearly 19,000 resolved bets.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 502 events with $3.6M in flagged volume.
Market volume spiked sharply before kickoff, and this wallet is backing No at 87¢.

$3,836 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

Sharp bettor buying long-shot draw

Sharp sports bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and +$73.9k P&L bought $6.9k of Yes at 14¢ on a Senegal-Iraq draw.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $73.9k lifetime.
They put $6.9k on Yes at 14¢, a long-shot draw price with roughly 7x payout if right.
Their past wins came at much higher odds than the market implied, suggesting real betting edge.

$6,851 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 32030420, $151,055
0x6880...cf03 — Outcome 33076998, $51,786 (84% win rate)
0x5468...f311 — Outcome 33076998, $49,500
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 33076998, $31,193 (63% win rate)
0x1f64...7a6d — Outcome 33076998, $22,222 (100% win rate)
0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 33076998, $15,886 (88% win rate)
0xf045...c619 — Outcome 33076998, $10,250
0x685c...b626 — Outcome 33076998, $10,000
0xe4eb...1a6e — Outcome 33076998, $10,000 (81% win rate)
0x209b...5706 — Outcome 33076998, $7,692 (92% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Arsenal beat PSG outright

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

ResolvedSenegal vs. Iraq$14,167 tracked3 signalsSportsFIFA World CupSoccerGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 26, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”

89¢

85¢

81¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction