Part of: Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,251.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

New profitable wallet riding spike

A 2-day-old wallet with early profits and repeat large-bet flags bought Sevilla Yes ahead of a major volume and price spike.

This new wallet is 7-for-7 on resolved bets and already up $1,131.
The bettor bought Yes at 87¢, and the market has since moved to 92¢.
Volume is up 69x versus normal, with Yes jumping 53 points in the past day.

$1,088 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

71% winner caught breakout

Proven 71% winner bought Sevilla Yes at 43¢ ahead of a major price move to 76¢, with 16x volume confirming momentum.

This bettor wins 71% of resolved bets and is up $207k lifetime.
They bought Yes at 43¢ before the market jumped to 76¢.
Volume spiked 16x and the Yes price moved up 32 points, showing strong momentum behind the trade.

$2,522 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

5-wallet momentum cluster

Surface: five wallets bought $10.3k of Yes around 42–43¢, backed by serial profitable traders and followed by a sharp move to 72¢ on a 32x volume spike.

Five wallets bought the same side for $10.3k within minutes at 42–43¢.
One major bettor in the flow has won 71% of 474 resolved trades and is up $207k.
The market jumped from about 42¢ to 72¢ with a 32x volume spike, so this is strongest on a pullback.

$10,328 on Yes

93% winner joins No cluster

Surface: a 6-wallet No cluster includes a highly profitable 93% winner and coincides with a major volume spike and sharp price dislocation.

A bettor who wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $332K bought No here.
Six wallets took the same No side for $12K during a 69x volume spike.
Their average entry near 17¢ implies about a 5.8x payout if Sevilla fails to win.

$12,046 on No

Unbeaten serial sports trader

Surfacing because this is a proven serial cross-market bettor with a 13-0 resolved record placing a fresh $3.3k BUY on Sevilla at 40¢.

This bettor is 13-for-13 on resolved bets and is up about $59.8k lifetime.
They have traded across 25 events with $105k total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 40¢ implies a 2.5x payout if Sevilla wins.

$3,268 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0x3de4...b032 — Outcome 87003483, $12,424 (73% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 87003483, $8,519 (65% win rate)
0x8a92...6941 — Outcome 87003483, $6,743 (61% win rate)
0x04b9...79e0 — Outcome 87003483, $2,614 (70% win rate)
0xaf84...0b5e — Outcome 87003483, $2,000
0xf02f...1ed8 — Outcome 87003483, $1,382 (82% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 87003483, $1,048
0x3102...187c — Outcome 87003483, $975 (56% win rate)
0xccda...21f3 — Outcome 87003483, $862
0x95b7...d633 — Outcome 87003483, $500

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Freiburg wins on May 10

Covers 1 related market

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?

ResolvedSevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol$29,251 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 4, 2026 If Sevilla FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.