Part of: What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in May 2026?
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $78 in May?
This Polymarket market asks whether Silver (XAGUSD) will trade at a 1-minute candle low of $78 or below at any point during May 2026. It resolves after the May trading window, with eligible prices based on Pyth-listed trading sessions and final 1-minute candle lows. PolySpotter is tracking $2,713 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including a recent alert noting an 87% winner buying a thin market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Silver Futures (SI)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,713.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Silver, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
87% winner buying thin market
A highly profitable 87% win-rate cross-market trader bought Yes at 46¢ on a relatively thin silver market, and the price has already moved to 66¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $176K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 158 events and nearly $5M in tracked volume.
- Their 46¢ Yes entry was large for this market and the odds have already jumped to 66¢.
$2,713 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x4060...3ec3 — Yes, $5,500 (87% win rate)
- 0x1f05...8b8b — No, $5,000 (60% win rate)
- 0xa540...0b43 — Yes, $1,087 (41% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $900 (47% win rate)
- 0xa8b3...4484 — No, $604 (58% win rate)
- 0x8a83...74e9 — Yes, $513
- 0x6ffd...a637 — Yes, $188
- 0x4435...786f — No, $150
- 0x6f67...102c — No, $141
- 0xa3e2...fdf8 — No, $141
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