Part of: South Africa vs. Canada
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $376,729.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
10-wallet No rush
High-scoring alert driven by coordinated No flow and a major odds move, though the highlighted wallet was closing a prior Yes position rather than opening a fresh No bet.
- Ten wallets bet the same way, putting $34.5K behind No in the scan window.
- This wallet is profitable overall, up $54.5K across 96 resolved bets.
- Selling Yes at 62¢ was effectively a No entry at 38¢ before the market moved sharply toward No.
$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%
83% winner backs draw
Sharp sports bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought the draw at 27¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $32K lifetime.
- Their past wins came at much lower average odds, suggesting a strong edge versus market prices.
- They bought Yes at 27¢, meaning the draw pays nearly 3.7x if correct.
$2,596 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
11-wallet No cluster
Surface because 11 wallets are collectively taking the No side with $45.6k despite the market moving sharply toward Yes.
- 11 wallets are all betting No, totaling about $45.6k on the same side.
- This wallet sold Yes at 62¢, equivalent to buying No at 38¢.
- The market has seen a 12.7x volume spike and a 45-point move in the last day.
$1,201 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable new wallet joins cluster
High composite alert from a profitable 10-day-old repeat bettor joining 11-wallet one-sided No flow, despite the market moving against the entry.
- This 10-day-old wallet is already up $8.2K and has been flagged 13 times for large bets.
- 11 wallets bought No in the same window, totaling $45.6K of one-sided flow.
- The bettor paid 38¢ for No, while the market is now around 28¢, offering a cheaper entry than the original trade.
$3,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Perfect-record whale buying Yes
Elite 20-for-20 wallet with strong profits bought $51k of Yes alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 20 of 20 resolved trades and is up $440k lifetime.
- They bought $51k of Yes at 36¢, and the price has already moved to 38¢.
- Five wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $163k, during a 20x volume spike.
$51,020 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
14-wallet draw surge
Strong coordinated Yes buying drove a major price move, with $101k from 14 wallets and participation from at least one highly profitable perfect-record bettor despite some opposing No flow.
- 14 wallets bought the draw for $101k, more than double the opposing No cluster's $46k.
- The draw price jumped 45 points in a day, backed by a 12.7x volume spike before the match.
- One wallet in the cluster is 15-for-15 on resolved bets and up about $101k lifetime.
$101,037 on Yes
88% winner buying draw
Surface due to a proven profitable wallet buying Yes despite only a modest single win-rate signal.
- This bettor has won 88% of resolved trades and is up $1.6K lifetime.
- They are buying the draw at 26¢, implying a nearly 4x payout if it hits.
- The market is highly liquid, so the edge comes from the wallet’s track record rather than trade size.
$1,155 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Elite 81% sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with an 81% win rate and $4.25M profit bought No on a highly active pre-match market, supported by serial cross-market history and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $4.25M lifetime.
- They are a major serial sports trader, with $5.7M bet across 409 related events.
- Market volume is surging 51x above normal before kickoff, and this sharp is backing No at 74¢.
$2,790 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Perfect-record bettor buys No
Sharp wallet with a perfect 26-0 resolved record and positive P&L bought No at 74% on a liquid soccer draw market.
- This bettor has won 26 of 26 resolved bets and is up $7,777 lifetime.
- They put $2.2K on No at 74%, backing South Africa vs. Canada not ending in a draw.
- Their past wins came at 59% average odds, suggesting they have beaten market prices consistently.
$2,214 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
94% winner backs No draw
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% long-run win rate bought No on the draw market amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $374,576 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 123 events with the same 94% hit rate.
- Market volume is surging, with a 535x spike versus its historical average before kickoff.
$1,776 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 88168782, $520,108 (51% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 93061090, $296,528
- 0x3496...8fc4 — Outcome 88168782, $278,476 (67% win rate)
- 0x6501...1220 — Outcome 88168782, $142,463 (100% win rate)
- 0x088b...21cc — Outcome 88168782, $90,709 (27% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 88168782, $70,000 (97% win rate)
- 0xce80...9a82 — Outcome 88168782, $55,000 (68% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 88168782, $38,242 (73% win rate)
- 0xaa07...2125 — Outcome 88168782, $22,911 (52% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 88168782, $22,671 (71% win rate)
