This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $18.3K lifetime. They bought $3.3K of Yes at 24¢, backing the draw against a fairly liquid market. Their past results beat average market odds by about 18 percentage points.

Part of: South Africa vs. Korea Republic

Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,521.

Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

76% winner joins No cluster

Surface: a profitable 76% bettor joined a 3-wallet, $22.9K one-sided buy of No despite the market moving against them.

One participant wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $18.6K lifetime.
Three wallets bought the same side for $22.9K before the match.
They entered No around 60¢, while the market now offers a cheaper entry near 57¢.

$22,924 on No

Large cross-market soccer bettor

Large cross-market positioning across the same soccer event plus a 74x pre-event volume spike makes this worth watching, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.

This wallet has $94.5K positioned across 3 markets in the same match, suggesting a broader event thesis.
The draw market saw a 74x volume spike before the game, with the trader buying No at 75¢.
The bettor wins 75% of resolved trades, but is down $23.8K lifetime, so the edge is not proven.

$2,025 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

83% winner in draw cluster

Surface because a proven 83%-win, +$306k wallet joined a same-direction draw-buying cluster, though the market has since moved hard against Yes.

The strongest bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $306k lifetime.
Three wallets put $10k on the draw, including a $5k buy at 30¢ from the sharp wallet.
This was a high-conviction contrarian entry in a very liquid market, but the price has since moved sharply to No.

$10,043 on Yes

76% winner fading draw

Proven profitable cross-market sports bettor bought No on the draw market amid a large pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $136K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 42 events with $559K in tracked volume.
Market activity is surging 270x above its historical average before the match.

$4,222 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

82% win-rate sharp

Surfaced because a proven profitable wallet with an 82% historical win rate bought the draw despite only a modest single signal.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $18.3K lifetime.
They bought $3.3K of Yes at 24¢, backing the draw against a fairly liquid market.
Their past results beat average market odds by about 18 percentage points.

$3,307 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 67803843, $302,383
0x50f0...5355 — Outcome 10305289, $300,687 (100% win rate)
0x7124...f0b5 — Outcome 10305289, $59,915 (38% win rate)
0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 10305289, $17,045 (88% win rate)
0x1420...9daa — Outcome 10305289, $10,596 (73% win rate)
0x8fca...dde6 — Outcome 10305289, $10,000
0xfed7...b06a — Outcome 10305289, $8,551 (54% win rate)
0x5fe9...5e52 — Outcome 10305289, $6,508 (52% win rate)
0x3da8...80c3 — Outcome 10305289, $6,061 (96% win rate)
0x1f64...7a6d — Outcome 10305289, $6,000 (100% win rate)

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Switzerland routs Qatar convincingly

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Germany avoids Côte d'Ivoire defeat

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Portugal wins on June 17

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Iran-New Zealand won't draw

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Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

ResolvedSouth Africa vs. Korea Republic$42,521 tracked5 signalsGamesFIFA World CupSportsSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 24, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”

79¢

77¢

74¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction