Part of: South Africa vs. Korea Republic
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $374,043.
Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer
Notable Trades
Whale caught late move
Large Yes buy rode a major volume spike and 27-point price move to 100%, though the bettor's long-term P&L is poor.
- An $82K Yes buy entered at 82¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- The market saw a 67x volume spike and a 27-point Yes price jump around this flow.
- This wallet is very active across sports markets, but its lifetime record is weak at -$2.5M.
$82,124 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 51%
New profitable whale hit
A brand-new but already profitable wallet put $40k on Yes at 75¢ before a major volume spike and move to 100%.
- A 2-hour-old wallet has already made 7 flagged large bets and is up $22k.
- It put $40k on Yes at 75¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- The market saw a 67x volume spike and a 27-point price jump in the same direction.
$40,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
34-wallet Yes surge
High-conviction one-sided flow: 34 wallets bought Yes for $224k alongside a 43x volume spike and major upward price move.
- 34 wallets bought the same side for about $224k, making this a broad one-way move.
- Volume spiked 43x above normal and Yes jumped about 28 points during the alert window.
- This trader entered at 63¢ before the move to 90¢, so the original edge may already be mostly priced in.
$2,198 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Perfect-record bettor in 34-wallet surge
Elite 29-0 wallet bought Yes before a major one-sided surge and price move, with 34 wallets collectively pushing the same outcome.
- This bettor has won 29 of 29 resolved trades and is up $24.9K lifetime.
- 34 wallets bought the same side, totaling $223.7K on Yes.
- The market jumped from this entry near 61¢ to about 90¢ after a huge volume spike.
$1,903 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
34-wallet one-sided steam
High-conviction one-sided flow with 34 wallets buying Yes, a large volume spike, and a new profitable wallet entering before a major price move.
- 34 wallets all bought the same side, totaling $223,653 in Yes bets.
- This new wallet bought at 70¢ before the market jumped to 90¢.
- Volume spiked 42.7x and the Yes price moved up nearly 28 points.
$1,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Coordinated No buying cluster
High-score coordinated No buying: multiple same-direction wallet clusters totaling over $160k appeared alongside 12x–22x volume spikes and sharp price movement, despite this individual wallet’s weak history.
- 11–14 wallets are all buying No, including linked wallets, with clusters totaling about $163k.
- Volume spiked 12x–22x above normal as the market moved sharply.
- The copied wallet itself is not proven, but the coordinated same-side flow is the signal.
$5,705 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
$2.4M profitable serial trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $2.37M lifetime profit bought No, with a modest volume-spike signal supporting the move.
- This bettor has a large track record: 64% wins across 1,820 resolved bets and $2.37M in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 121 events and $4.6M of flagged positioning.
- The position is smaller at $1.1K, but they entered No at 74¢ before it moved to 78¢.
$1,104 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume sports trader bought South Africa No amid an 11.5x pre-event volume spike, though the bet is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 3,568 resolved bets and $550K in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 74 events and 91 markets.
- Market activity is heating up, with volume running 11.5x above its historical average.
$3,348 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%
Six-wallet No wave
Coordinated one-sided buying and a major volume spike make this worth surfacing despite the individual wallet’s weak long-term P&L.
- Six wallets are all buying No, totaling about $244k on the same side.
- This wallet put $71k into No and added aggressively as the price moved from 41¢ to 84¢.
- Market volume spiked 95–129x versus its historical average ahead of resolution.
$71,278 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp 16-wallet Yes surge
High-conviction Yes flow from 16 wallets totaling $139k, backed by sharp bettors and a major odds move, makes this worth surfacing despite some opposing activity.
- 16 wallets bought $139k of Yes, with most large entries around 61–63¢.
- Several proven bettors joined, including one who is 29-for-29 and another who wins 89% of resolved bets.
- Market volume spiked 21.6x and Yes moved sharply from roughly the low-20¢ range to 66¢.
$139,431 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 96920765, $302,383
- 0x51cf...c5ca — Outcome 96920765, $107,695
- 0xa41f...c0f7 — Outcome 96920765, $89,615 (95% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 96920765, $75,879 (54% win rate)
- 0x0b0d...580a — Outcome 96920765, $63,275 (75% win rate)
- 0xbc1b...9d59 — Outcome 96920765, $40,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x8fbb...9a17 — Outcome 96920765, $38,560 (54% win rate)
- 0xfaa2...e80a — Outcome 96920765, $29,077 (76% win rate)
- 0x8930...18db — Outcome 96920765, $20,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x38e5...95e7 — Outcome 96920765, $10,000 (77% win rate)
Related Theses
Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Covers 14 related markets
Paraguay fails to win
Covers 3 related markets
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Covers 9 related markets
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Covers 10 related markets
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Covers 8 related markets
Ecuador wins big to nil
Covers 7 related markets
