Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,388.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FA Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor bought the dip

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate bought No at 32¢ after a sharp price break, and the market has already moved in their favor to 16¢.

This bettor wins 73% of their resolved trades and is up about $199k across 313 settled markets
They bought No at 32¢ right after a major price break, and the market is already at 16¢
The bet was sizable at $6.4k and came from a wallet active across 339 events, suggesting a repeatable edge

$6,388 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%

Late sports bettor edge

Profitable high-volume sports trader with a long cross-market track record bought No just 2.4 minutes before resolution, a pattern consistent with having a live-game edge.

This bettor has 1,642 resolved bets, wins 64% of them, and is up $91k overall
They placed this bet just 2.4 minutes before resolution, which can matter in live sports markets
The buy was No at 89¢, showing high confidence in the favorite very late in the match

$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 10859729, $9,410 (64% win rate)
0x78ad...45cc — Outcome 10859729, $8,071 (84% win rate)
0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 10859729, $5,493 (75% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10859729, $2,041
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 10859729, $1,452 (64% win rate)
0xf7cd...0888 — Outcome 10859729, $1,310 (77% win rate)
0x081e...f76e — Outcome 10859729, $1,057 (92% win rate)
0xcc21...8729 — Outcome 10859729, $1,000
0x6770...c3bd — Outcome 10859729, $565
0x2652...2a1d — Outcome 10859729, $442

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

High-scoring outcome volatility

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?

ResolvedSouthampton FC vs. Arsenal FC$9,388 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFA Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If Southampton FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.