Part of: World Cup: Spain Stage of Elimination
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
This prediction market asks whether Spain will be eliminated in the Round of 32 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It resolves based on Spain’s official stage of elimination, or as “Champion” if Spain wins the tournament, with final resolution expected by July 19, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $4,031 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this market, including a recent “Quiet-market Spain fade” alert.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,031.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Stage of Elimination
Notable Trades
Quiet-market Spain fade
A positive-history wallet placed a $4.0k No bet in an extremely quiet long-range World Cup market, dwarfing recent volume.
- A $4.0k bet was about 60x this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a very quiet market.
- The bettor has a long history with 104 resolved trades, winning 69% and up about $4.9k lifetime.
- Entry at 80¢ implies they see Spain avoiding Round-of-32 elimination as underpriced.
$4,031 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0xbebe...72e1 — No, $5,964 (69% win rate)
- 0xda3a...381f — Yes, $5,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x42b5...b5b6 — Yes, $734 (46% win rate)
- 0x1769...94ef — Yes, $250
- 0xbbb4...0060 — Yes, $200
- 0xed47...5d79 — No, $113
- 0x7495...7fcf — Yes, $82
- 0xda05...9e0c — No, $63
- 0x6a68...6679 — No, $40
- 0xdc36...3987 — No, $38