Part of: World Cup Group H Winner

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,962.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, world cup, FIFA World Cup, Group Futures, 2026 FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Proven profitable serial cross-market bettor put $20,000 on Spain Yes at 86¢ and the market has already moved to 92¢.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $38.7k lifetime.
They placed a $20k Yes bet at 86¢, and the market has already moved to 92¢.
This wallet has traded across 37 events with a strong track record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.

$20,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

8-wallet funded cluster

An 8-wallet funded cluster is adding to the Spain favorite at 88¢ amid strong recent price momentum, though the individual trade size is modest relative to market liquidity.

Eight wallets tied to the same funder have been active, suggesting one coordinated actor is backing this side.
The market has moved sharply toward this outcome, up 13.5 points in the past day.
This wallet has a profitable history, up about $10.9K across 286 resolved bets.

$2,640 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

New profitable repeat bettor

A new wallet with early profits is making a repeat large bet on Spain, though the track record is still short.

This new bettor is already up $358 and has won all 3 resolved bets so far.
They have now placed $4,000 in flagged repeat bets, including $2,000 on this position.
Entry at 80¢ suggests confidence in Spain despite the market already pricing them as a strong favorite.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%

New profitable repeat bettor

A new wallet with early profits is making a repeat large bet on Spain, though the track record is still short.

This new bettor is already up $358 and has won all 3 resolved bets so far.
They have now placed $4,000 in flagged repeat bets, including $2,000 on this position.
Entry at 80¢ suggests confidence in Spain despite the market already pricing them as a strong favorite.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports trader is taking a contrarian No position on a quiet long-dated World Cup group market, with the bet far larger than recent baseline activity.

This bettor has a large track record: 750 resolved bets and $80.5k in lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 30 events with $125k recently tracked.
The $1.3k No buy was over 9x the market’s recent quiet-volume baseline.

$1,322 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

0x37e0...024e — Outcome 37821011, $78,262 (71% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 37821011, $50,587
0x1341...0853 — Outcome 37821011, $7,841 (85% win rate)
0xf83d...367d — Outcome 37821011, $2,114
0xd3e7...bf64 — Outcome 37821011, $2,011 (61% win rate)
0x224f...514a — Outcome 37821011, $1,500 (84% win rate)
0x38e5...95e7 — Outcome 37821011, $1,368 (77% win rate)
0xf7e6...a5f5 — Outcome 37821011, $900
0xb2ee...9bdc — Outcome 37821011, $500 (64% win rate)
0xd449...450f — Outcome 37821011, $500

Related Theses

Fucsovics beats Tien at Wimbledon

Covers 1 related market

Javier Barranco Cosano will lose

Covers 1 related market

Germany, Ivory Coast won’t win

Covers 2 related markets

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup Group H Winner$27,962 tracked5 signalsSportsSoccerworld cupFIFA World CupGroup Futures2026 FIFA World Cup

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.