Part of: Uruguay vs. Spain

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

50 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,275,205.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

81% serial winner

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 81% resolved win rate and +$392k P&L bought Spain Yes despite the market being highly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $392k lifetime.
  • They have traded 659 markets across 361 events, with $5.8M total deployed.
  • Spain has moved up 5 points today, and the market is currently below their 75¢ entry.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable 81% sports bettor

Surface due to a proven profitable sports bettor buying Spain despite the alert’s otherwise modest size and score.

  • This bettor has won 81% of resolved trades and is up $6.2K lifetime.
  • Their past bets beat market odds by about 16 percentage points across 43 resolved trades.
  • They bought Spain at 80¢ while the market has moved up 15 points in the past day.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

16-wallet anti-Spain flow

A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a much larger 16-wallet move against Spain, though this specific trade may partly be closing a prior Yes position.

  • 16 wallets are all betting against Spain, with $123.6K on the No side.
  • This bettor has a long record across 188 resolved trades and is up $69K lifetime.
  • The market has moved strongly toward Spain, so this is a contrarian bet against the recent +6-point daily move.

$1,267 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

New repeat bettor on Yes

New repeat bettor with early profits bought Spain Yes at 73¢ and is already ahead in a liquid market moving upward.

  • This new wallet has already made 3 flagged large bets and is up $596 on 2 resolved trades.
  • They bought Spain Yes at 73¢, and the market has since moved to 76¢.
  • Spain’s odds are up 9 points in the last day, supporting the direction of the bet.

$2,686 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

81% serial winner

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 81% resolved win rate and +$392k P&L bought Spain Yes despite the market being highly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $392k lifetime.
  • They have traded 659 markets across 361 events, with $5.8M total deployed.
  • Spain has moved up 5 points today, and the market is currently below their 75¢ entry.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

94% winner joins Yes wave

Elite 94% winner with strong lifetime profit bought Spain Yes alongside a large 31-wallet one-sided move and rising price/volume.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $251k lifetime.
  • 31 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $175k on Yes.
  • Spain Yes has moved up 27 points with a 10x volume spike, and this entry was at 72¢.

$5,828 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

31-wallet Yes surge

Surface this because a large 31-wallet one-sided wave bought Spain Yes alongside a sharp price move and volume spike, despite this specific wallet lacking a strong historical edge.

  • 31 wallets bought the same side, totaling about $175k on Spain Yes.
  • This wallet added roughly $45k of Yes at 74¢ during the surge.
  • The market moved sharply upward, with Yes up 27 percentage points and volume running 10x normal.

$48,957 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%

31-wallet Yes surge

Strong coordinated Yes flow: 31 wallets bought Spain, including linked funding, alongside a 10x volume spike and a 27-point price move.

  • 31 wallets are all buying Spain Yes, totaling about $175k in the same direction.
  • This trade entered at 47¢ before the market jumped to 74¢, showing the flow moved ahead of a major repricing.
  • Volume spiked 10x versus normal activity, suggesting broad conviction behind the move.

$5,900 on Yes

Sharp cluster fading favorite

Strong one-sided No flow from 21 wallets plus linked-wallet activity and a profitable 80% bettor, though this specific wallet appears to be taking profit on a prior Yes position.

  • 21 wallets are taking the No side, totaling $84.6k on the market.
  • This bettor has won 80% of 25 resolved bets and is up $3.4k lifetime.
  • Five linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction.

$2,526 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

6-wallet No surge

High-score alert driven by coordinated one-sided No buying, a fresh $10k new-wallet bet, and a major pre-event volume spike despite the market being very liquid.

  • Six wallets bought the same side, totaling about $246k on No.
  • This wallet is only 4 hours old but immediately placed a $10k bet at 43¢.
  • Volume is running 51x above normal, and Spain’s Yes price has fallen 9 points in 24 hours.

$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x50f0...5355 Outcome 19257598, $439,999 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x9ee8...89de Outcome 19257598, $433,108 (74% win rate)
  3. 0x37e0...024e Outcome 19257598, $353,507 (71% win rate)
  4. 0xcd30...f316 Outcome 19257598, $300,000 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 19257598, $125,824
  6. 0xd44f...7842 Outcome 19257598, $94,698
  7. 0xc41d...74fd Outcome 19257598, $78,980 (97% win rate)
  8. 0x2759...2b38 Outcome 19257598, $77,338 (47% win rate)
  9. 0x2c33...04a9 Outcome 19257598, $66,018 (100% win rate)
  10. 0xad94...85b1 Outcome 19257598, $55,000 (41% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Iran New Zealand stays low-scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina wins high-scoring shootout

Covers 3 related markets

Braves beat Blue Jays decisively

Covers 3 related markets

Czechia won't beat Korea

Covers 3 related markets

Canada-Bosnia match canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Goals, not Germany by two

Covers 5 related markets

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

ResolvedUruguay vs. Spain$2,275,205 tracked50 signalsSportsFIFA World CupSoccerGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 26, 2026 If Spain wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes
100¢
78¢
56¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

4d ago

$3,000 on Yes at 75¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

4d ago

$1,000 on Yes at 80¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$1,267 on No at 50¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$2,686 on Yes at 73¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 75¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$5,828 on Yes at 72¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$48,957 on Yes at 74¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$5,900 on Yes at 47¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$2,526 on No at 28¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$5,000 on No at 43¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$7,020 on No at 52¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$26,967 on No at 48¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$11,091 on No at 50¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$1,435 on Yes at 55¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$5,000 on Yes at 50¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 58¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$3,000 on No at 42¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$2,754 on No at 47¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$90,520 on No at 46¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$10,000 on Yes at 58¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$1,250 on Yes at 57¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$17,100 on Yes at 57¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$1,029 on No at 43¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$10,000 on No at 43¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$210,000 on No at 42¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$6,119 on No at 43¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$4,971 on No at 43¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$45,322 on No at 43¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$1,135,714 on No at 40¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$1,723 on Yes at 61¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$5,364 on Yes at 61¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$3,050 on Yes at 61¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$17,161 on No at 40¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$1,200 on No at 42¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$15,431 on No at 41¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$1,630 on No at 40¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$313,968 on No at 40¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$3,424 on Yes at 57¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$10,013 on No at 41¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$1,357 on No at 40¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$7,000 on Yes at 57¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$5,040 on No at 42¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$1,180 on Yes at 59¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$153,603 on Yes at 74¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$10,000 on Yes at 58¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$8,700 on Yes at 58¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$2,643 on Yes at 58¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$2,600 on Yes at 58¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$11,544 on Yes at 58¢

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$29,116 on Yes at 65¢

Related Theses

Wallet_0x3f3aa trades 3 related markets
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05…Will Club Atlético de Madrid w…Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlét…
Iran New Zealand stays low-scoring
Wallet_0x3da47 trades 3 related markets
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4…IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st H…IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3…
Argentina wins high-scoring shootout
Wallet_0x3da47 trades 3 related markets
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Te…
Braves beat Blue Jays decisively
Wallet_0x4c0ab trades 3 related markets
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta …
Czechia won't beat Korea
Wallet_0x3f3aa trades 3 related markets
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11…Will Korea Republic vs. Czechi…Will Korea Republic win on 202…
Canada-Bosnia match canceled
Wallet_0x3f3aa trades 3 related markets
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Her…Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Will Bosnia and Herzegovina wi…
Wallet_0x3f3aa trades 3 related markets
Will Pisa SC vs. US Lecce end …Will Pisa SC win on 2026-05-01…Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-0…
Wallet_0x3f3aa trades 3 related markets
Will Manchester United FC win …Will Manchester United FC vs. …Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-…
Wallet_0x3f3aa trades 3 related markets
Will FC Bayern München win on …Will FC Bayern München vs. Par…Will Paris Saint-Germain FC wi…
Goals, not Germany by two
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5