Part of: "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,035.
Categories: Movies, Culture, Box Office, Spider-Man
Notable Trades
Serial trader scales into thin market
A serial cross-market trader added heavily to an existing Yes position, driving most of the market's recent volume, though the wallet lacks a clearly superior win-rate edge.
- This trader put $3,035 into Yes, representing 81% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has traded across 526 markets and 326 events, with 1,732 resolved bets and a 68% win rate.
- The trade was an addition to an existing $7,018 Yes position, showing increased conviction, but the wallet’s average winning entry of 84% limits the evidence of a pricing edge.
$3,035 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 70125872, $6,514
- 0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 70125872, $6,434 (73% win rate)
- 0x9d84...1344 — Outcome 70125872, $4,030 (43% win rate)
- 0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 70125872, $2,000 (49% win rate)
- 0x2167...5ded — Outcome 70125872, $500
- 0x1682...26ca — Outcome 70125872, $400 (71% win rate)
- 0x2213...492c — Outcome 70125872, $200
- 0xf85f...9800 — Outcome 70125872, $139 (74% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 70125872, $120
- 0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 70125872, $100
Related Theses
Iran deal lands in July
Covers 8 related markets
Claude 5 launches by April
Covers 4 related markets
Spider-Man grosses $800M–$900M
Covers 2 related markets
The Odyssey finishes $550–570m
Covers 2 related markets
Spider-Man grosses under $900M
Covers 2 related markets