A bettor who wins 76% of 867 resolved trades and is up $898k led this move with a $29.8k buy. Three wallets all bought No within 20 seconds for $36k total as market volume exploded 4,023x versus normal. They got in at 66-70¢ and the market is now 100¢ No, showing the move was immediately validated.

Part of: Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-06?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $73,734.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Primeira Liga

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor flips to Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 76% win rate sold No heavily in a soccer market during a massive pre-match volume spike, which converts to a strong Yes buy around 19¢.

This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $898k across 867 resolved bets.
They trade across 150 markets in 140 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
The market saw a 428x volume spike, and their $36.5k sale of No at 81¢ converts to buying Yes at 19¢.

$36,548 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Sharp-led No cluster

Three wallets piled $36k into No during a massive pre-game volume spike, led by a bettor with a 76% win rate and nearly $898k in profits, and the market quickly moved from roughly 66-70¢ to fully priced at 100¢ No.

A bettor who wins 76% of 867 resolved trades and is up $898k led this move with a $29.8k buy.
Three wallets all bought No within 20 seconds for $36k total as market volume exploded 4,023x versus normal.
They got in at 66-70¢ and the market is now 100¢ No, showing the move was immediately validated.

$36,068 on No

84% win-rate sports bettor

A proven high-volume sports trader with an 84% win rate and nearly $660k in profit is buying Yes on Benfica, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest ticket size.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $660k lifetime
They have bet across 158 markets in 141 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off play
They bought Yes at 73¢ while the market sits around 72¢, signaling continued confidence even after recent price weakness

$1,118 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

0xd178...6703 — Outcome 72225804, $3,987 (86% win rate)
0xbca0...d7a0 — Outcome 72225804, $3,980 (93% win rate)
0x85e6...454e — Outcome 72225804, $2,264
0x081e...f76e — Outcome 72225804, $1,917 (92% win rate)
0x9e19...1495 — Outcome 72225804, $1,500 (98% win rate)
0x964d...2acd — Outcome 72225804, $1,359 (100% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 94236650, $914
0x2652...2a1d — Outcome 72225804, $647
0xa533...acac — Outcome 72225804, $505 (78% win rate)
0x2446...6156 — Outcome 72225804, $390

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-06?

ResolvedCasa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica$73,734 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPrimeira Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 6, 2026 If Sport Lisboa e Benfica wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.