Part of: Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-13?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,504.

Notable Trades

Serial trader backs Benfica No

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader placed a $1,353 No bet that was followed by a rapid 13-point move toward No, despite only a market-rate historical win edge.

This bettor has 24,316 resolved trades, a 72% win rate, and $5.2M in lifetime profit.
The $1,353 No position at 78¢ was followed by a rapid 13-point move toward No.
Their historical win rate is roughly in line with their average 73¢ entry price, so the track record supports—but does not guarantee—the signal.

$1,353 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Four-wallet Yes buying cluster

Four wallets bought Yes for $12,343 amid a 124x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite the price falling from the trader's 46% entry to 42%.

Four wallets are betting Yes, committing $12,343 in coordinated one-sided buying.
Trading volume surged to 124 times its historical average across eight trades.
The entry was 46¢ while current odds are 42%, so the position is underwater and should be copied only at a disciplined price.

$1,932 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

Coordinated No flow after volume spike

Three wallets placed roughly $10.7K of coordinated No exposure amid a 124x volume spike and a sharp 1-day price decline, though their track records are only moderately compelling.

Three wallets committed $10,679 to No, including one profitable bettor with $16,923 lifetime P&L.
Trading volume was 124 times its historical average while Benfica's Yes price fell 26.5% in one day.
The signal is directional but not conclusive: win rates are around 55–58% and one wallet was adding to an existing No position.

$10,679 on No

Four-wallet bullish soccer cluster

Four wallets deployed $12.3K toward Benfica Yes during a 139.6x volume spike, creating a notable contrarian bullish signal despite mixed trader quality.

Four wallets put $12,343 behind Benfica Yes, including a large effective Yes entry near 20¢ from selling No at 80¢.
The activity coincided with a 139.6x historical volume spike, making the coordinated flow unusually notable.
The bullish positioning came after Yes fell 22% over one day, while the wallet track records are mixed rather than uniformly sharp.

$12,540 on Yes

Top Holders

0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 83333000, $21,581 (73% win rate)
0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 83333000, $19,226 (54% win rate)
0x24ae...4c80 — Outcome 83333000, $2,112 (77% win rate)
0x767f...a705 — Outcome 83333000, $1,546
0x9a20...2b3e — Outcome 83333000, $1,539
0x39e7...ceed — Outcome 83333000, $1,500 (78% win rate)
0xb5dd...5df8 — Outcome 83333000, $1,307
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 84146276, $1,141
0x2759...2b38 — Outcome 83333000, $1,137 (65% win rate)
0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 83333000, $915 (70% win rate)

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Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-13?

ResolvedHeart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica$26,504 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerUEL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 13, 2026 If Sport Lisboa e Benfica wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”

101¢

62¢

23¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction