Part of: AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,416.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEL

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor leads five-wallet No cluster

A sharp, profitable bettor joined a five-wallet No cluster during a major volume spike, creating a notable contrarian position despite mixed wallet quality.

  • A bettor with a 78% win rate and $1.75M profit bought $4,000 of No.
  • Five wallets bought No for $11,707 amid a 235x historical volume spike.
  • No is priced near 49¢ even after Yes rose 24% in one day, making this a sizable contrarian position.

$21,737 on No

Six-wallet Benfica bullish cluster

Six wallets deployed roughly $16,000 of coordinated bullish exposure to Benfica amid a 486x volume spike and a 25-point daily price rise, with several profitable high-volume bettors involved.

  • Six wallets converged on Yes with about $16,000 of exposure, including No sells that are economically bullish Yes trades.
  • Market volume is running 486x above its historical average, while Yes has risen 25 percentage points in one day.
  • One participant wins 78% of 1,660 resolved bets and is up $1.75 million, adding credibility to the coordinated move.

$16,679 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 34501505, $68,873 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x29b1...f737 Outcome 34501505, $11,072 (59% win rate)
  3. 0xc289...ab37 Outcome 34501505, $10,417 (95% win rate)
  4. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 34501505, $9,472
  5. 0xc974...b33b Outcome 34501505, $5,757 (88% win rate)
  6. 0xc291...5d74 Outcome 34501505, $5,331 (66% win rate)
  7. 0xf379...b267 Outcome 34501505, $4,500 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x52db...4fa3 Outcome 34501505, $4,000
  9. 0x5e39...352c Outcome 34501505, $3,000 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x1617...d790 Outcome 34501505, $1,923 (69% win rate)

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?

ResolvedAC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica$38,416 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerUEL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 16, 2026 If Sport Lisboa e Benfica wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
64¢
26¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?

4d ago

$21,737 on No at 49¢

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?

4d ago

$16,679 on Yes at 53¢