Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $91,708.

Notable Trades

92% winner buying Lazio YES

A highly profitable 92% win-rate sports bettor bought Lazio Yes at 20¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike and broader cross-market sharp activity.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $293,600 lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 135 events with a 92% hit rate.
Entry at 20¢ was far below the current 34¢ odds, suggesting they saw a strong mispricing.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 47%

Serial timer with 85% wins

Elite 85% win-rate serial timer exited No 1.9 minutes before resolution, effectively pointing to Yes alongside 5-wallet same-direction flow.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.22M lifetime.
They acted 1.9 minutes before resolution, matching a 22-market pattern of last-minute bets.
Five wallets put $18.2K on the same Yes direction as volume spiked 13x.

$3,147 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

92% winner buying underdog

A proven 92% winning sports/cross-market trader bought Lazio Yes, with 5-wallet same-direction flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved positions and is up $293.6K lifetime.
Five wallets bought the same Yes outcome, totaling $18.2K of one-sided flow.
The trader entered at 42¢, but Yes has fallen to 16¢, so this is a risky follow unless the original thesis still holds.

$2,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 47%

99% winner leads No surge

Strong one-sided No flow on a Lazio win market, led by a highly profitable 99% winner and confirmed by a 22x volume spike plus a major price move.

A bettor who has won 67 of 68 resolved bets and is up $239K bought No around 57–58¢.
Three wallets bought the same side for $26K, and No has already moved from the high 50s/low 80s to 86¢.
Market volume spiked 22x versus normal, matching a 23-point move against a Lazio win.

$26,274 on No

Profitable serial bettor buys collapse

Surface cautiously: a highly profitable serial trader and 5-wallet one-sided flow bought Yes, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor has a large track record: 66% wins across 6,618 resolved bets and about $935K profit.
Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $18.2K of one-sided Yes flow.
The entry was 41¢ but the market is now 16¢, making this a contrarian follow rather than a momentum trade.

$1,148 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%

Six-wallet sharp cluster buys Yes

Six wallets put $45.8k on Yes amid a 38x pre-event volume spike, including two highly profitable serial sports traders with large historical volume.

Six wallets are all betting the same way, putting $45.8k on Yes before the match.
Two serial cross-market traders in the cluster have strong records: 72% and 67% wins across thousands of resolved markets.
Entry around 41¢ comes during a 38x volume spike and a 4-point one-day move toward Yes.

$45,766 on Yes

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 65% resolved win rate is buying No on Lazio at 61¢, though the bet size is modest in a liquid market.

This bettor has won 65% of 418 resolved bets and is up $185k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 73 events with $284k in flagged volume.
They bought No at 61¢, betting that Lazio fails to win in regulation.

$1,337 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Perfect-record whale buying YES

Exceptional sharp wallet with an 81-0 resolved record and $3.0M profit is buying Lazio Yes at 39¢.

This bettor has won 81 of 81 resolved positions and is up $3.0M lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 92 events with $3.1M in flagged cross-market activity.
Entry at 39¢ implies a ~2.6x payout if Lazio wins.

$9,537 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 24793252, $38,700 (80% win rate)
0xee0b...e6d4 — Outcome 24793252, $16,864 (64% win rate)
0x160b...4296 — Outcome 24793252, $13,151 (76% win rate)
0x1350...0841 — Outcome 24793252, $12,247 (92% win rate)
0xc0ff...9953 — Outcome 24793252, $10,892 (64% win rate)
0x7d2f...ef1a — Outcome 24793252, $9,200 (55% win rate)
0xec8d...dd71 — Outcome 24793252, $7,046 (72% win rate)
0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 24793252, $6,400 (87% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 24793252, $3,701 (55% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 24793252, $3,486

Related Theses

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Thunder will beat Spurs

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Covers 1 related market

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?

ResolvedUS Cremonese vs. SS Lazio$91,708 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesSoccersea

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 4, 2026 If SS Lazio wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.