Part of: Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-24?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,613.
Categories: Soccer, sea, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable whale leads Yes cluster
A profitable high-volume bettor is adding to a sizable Yes position alongside several other wallets, creating meaningful one-sided conviction despite mixed-quality participants.
- A bettor up $5.6M lifetime with 71% wins is adding $2,726 to Yes after already investing about $100,000.
- Four wallets bought Yes for $7,452, while the No sale is economically equivalent to another Yes purchase at roughly 34¢.
- The market saw a 30.4x historical volume spike, although the broader cluster includes several unprofitable traders and Yes has fallen to 30%.
$8,234 on Yes
Five-wallet No cluster
Five wallets have concentrated $16.8K exposure to No amid a 30.4x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite the lead wallet's merely moderate track record.
- Five wallets are betting No with $16,818 combined, providing a strong one-sided signal.
- Trading volume is running 30.4x above its historical average, suggesting unusually active positioning.
- The lead bettor has resolved 634 markets with a 68% win rate, though that record is not clearly superior to the odds typically paid.
$1,622 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%
Five-wallet No conviction cluster
Five wallets placed $16,818 on No alongside a 30.4x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite the trader's only moderate historical edge.
- Five wallets are betting No with $16,818 combined, a strong one-sided signal on Lazio.
- Trading activity is running at 30.4 times the historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated interest.
- This wallet has 795 resolved bets and is profitable overall, though its 56% win rate is only moderate.
$2,025 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%
99% win-rate bettor buys Lazio
A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial historical edge is taking a fresh $1,732 position on Lazio at 30%.
- This bettor has won 99% of 2,039 resolved positions and is up $17.6 million.
- The fresh $1,732 Yes bet was placed at 30%, while the bettor’s historical average winning entry is 56%.
- The wallet has traded across 1,167 events, providing an unusually large sample for its track record.
$1,732 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0x293b...3b9e — Outcome 10134156, $105,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xadea...b96d — Outcome 10134156, $30,000 (30% win rate)
- 0xd273...17ea — Outcome 10134156, $29,523 (79% win rate)
- 0xa084...bb99 — Outcome 10134156, $6,128 (92% win rate)
- 0x5811...0976 — Outcome 10134156, $5,358 (45% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10134156, $4,421
- 0x0a63...fc03 — Outcome 10134156, $4,000 (84% win rate)
- 0x161a...4103 — Outcome 10134156, $3,778 (95% win rate)
- 0x191f...4a8d — Outcome 10134156, $3,341 (71% win rate)
- 0x510b...795b — Outcome 10134156, $3,100 (99% win rate)
Related Theses
Norway advances on penalties
Covers 4 related markets
Spain advances, not exactly three
Covers 3 related markets
Mariners will beat Giants
Covers 1 related market
Bernet beats Dellien in Trieste
Covers 1 related market
Christian Leroy Duncan will win
Covers 1 related market
Man City wins comfortably
Covers 1 related market
Bournemouth will not win
Covers 1 related market
AFC Ajax wins May 24
Covers 1 related market
Verona Roma goes high scoring
Covers 1 related market
SD Eibar will win
Covers 1 related market
