Part of: What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
This prediction market asks whether “Swapped” will be ranked the #2 movie in the United States when Netflix updates its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The outcome is based on Netflix’s reported US movie views for the previous Monday-to-Sunday viewing week; if the update is not posted by May 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to “Other.” PolySpotter currently tracks $3,249 in smart money and 1 smart money signal for this market, with recent activity indicating a thin market and no whale signal.
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,249.
Categories: Culture, Movies, netflix, Top Netflix
Notable Trades
Thin-market No whale
A single wallet put a large No bet into a very thin Netflix ranking market, taking significant price risk in an illiquid book.
- A $3.2K bet hit a market with only about $3.7K liquidity and no 24h volume.
- The trade bought No at 54¢, while the market now prices No around 70¢.
- The wide 37¢ spread suggests this was a confident bet in a very thin order book.
$3,249 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xfc55...dd71 — Yes, $6,017
- 0x2fc3...c9e7 — No, $6,017 (100% win rate)
- 0x66cb...3dd2 — Yes, $355
- 0x55ab...4f88 — No, $285
- 0xd7ba...1349 — No, $50
- 0x3690...e16f — No, $12
- 0x396b...1759 — Yes, $10
- 0x9422...f273 — No, $10
- 0xe59d...b97b — No, $8
- 0xbb22...c8ee — Yes, $5
