Part of: Netherlands vs. Sweden
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
This prediction market asks whether Sweden will win its scheduled FIFA World Cup match on June 20, 2026, counting only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Sweden wins in regulation it resolves Yes; any draw, loss, cancellation without a makeup game, or non-win outcome resolves No. PolySpotter is tracking $1,400 in smart money across 1 signal, with recent sharp activity including multiple NO-buying alerts.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 20, 2026 If Sweden wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $66,685.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable new wallet repeat
New repeat large-bet wallet with early profit is taking a fresh $3k Sweden Yes position at 21¢ before the match.
- This new bettor has already made 3 large flagged bets totaling $8.4k.
- The wallet is up $1.9k on its only resolved trade so far.
- Fresh $3k buy at 21¢ implies they see Sweden as underpriced.
$1,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Repeat new wallet buyer
Repeat new wallet is adding a $3.1k Yes position at 21¢ after $11.5k in flagged bets and early realized profit, though the market is liquid and track record is still very limited.
- This new wallet has now been flagged 5 times, with $11.5k in notable bets placed so far.
- The wallet is already up $1.9k on its only resolved bet, though the track record is still very small.
- Entry at 21¢ implies a roughly 4.8x payout if this side wins.
$3,055 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable new wallet repeat
New repeat large-bet wallet with early profit is taking a fresh $3k Sweden Yes position at 21¢ before the match.
- This new bettor has already made 3 large flagged bets totaling $8.4k.
- The wallet is up $1.9k on its only resolved trade so far.
- Fresh $3k buy at 21¢ implies they see Sweden as underpriced.
$1,655 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Perfect-record serial sports bettor
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 44/44 resolved record bought $5.2k of No at 80¢, supported by cross-market success and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 44 of 44 resolved trades and is up $13.8k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 27 events with a perfect resolved record.
- A $5.2k buy at 80¢ says they strongly favor Sweden not winning in regular time.
$5,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Proven bettors backing underdog
Three wallets are buying Sweden Yes at 21¢, including two highly profitable bettors with strong resolved-bet records.
- One buyer wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $368K lifetime.
- Another has over 1,000 resolved bets with an 82% win rate and positive lifetime profit.
- Three wallets bought the same 21¢ underdog side within minutes, totaling $7.4K.
$7,390 on Yes
99% winning sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate is buying Sweden Yes despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor has won 91 of 92 resolved positions and is up $164,709 lifetime.
- They have traded across 129 sports events with a 99% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Entry at 20¢ implies they see Sweden as meaningfully underpriced.
$1,650 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
Sharp bettor buying underdog
Sharp profitable wallet with a 77% record and strong edge is buying Sweden Yes at 20¢ despite only a modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $27.7K lifetime.
- Their past wins came at much longer average odds, suggesting a strong history of finding mispriced bets.
- Entry at 20¢ implies they see Sweden as a roughly 5x payoff opportunity.
$1,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial sports/event trader with $3.6M lifetime P&L bought Sweden No amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $3.6M lifetime across more than 18,000 resolved trades.
- They have traded 727 markets across 480 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Market volume is spiking 57x above its historical average while they buy No at 80¢.
$6,424 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Cross-market match whale
Surfacing due to a high-scoring combination of a 415x pre-event volume spike and a $104k cross-market position, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is weak.
- This wallet has placed $104k across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader match thesis.
- This market saw a 415x spike versus normal volume before the event.
- The trade is a high-conviction $14.3k buy on No at 80¢.
$6,012 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
Elite 88% win bettor
Elite sports bettor with an 88% long-run win rate and $3.3M profit bought Sweden No at 80¢, making the wallet track record the core signal despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 950 events with nearly $8.8M traded.
- Buying No at 80¢ suggests confidence Sweden does not win in regulation.
$2,175 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $226,593
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Yes, $90,845 (47% win rate)
- 0x5c3a...020b — Yes, $77,543 (60% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — No, $65,264 (54% win rate)
- 0x8b2c...d7e6 — No, $62,500 (100% win rate)
- 0x2117...5c26 — Yes, $51,152 (44% win rate)
- 0x82ba...afea — Yes, $47,619
- 0x7ea5...de7b — No, $44,862 (62% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — No, $43,123
- 0xe907...cff6 — Yes, $35,052 (47% win rate)
