Part of: France vs. Sweden

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,922.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp-backed 5-wallet cluster

High-score one-sided cluster: five wallets put $24.9k on Yes at longshot odds, including a proven 82% bettor, a repeat new-wallet large bettor, and a highly profitable lifetime wallet.

  • Five wallets put $24.9k on the same 8¢ longshot within about 21 minutes.
  • One wallet in the group wins 82% of resolved bets, while another is up $2.69M lifetime.
  • A 3-day-old wallet has now made $35.4k in flagged large bets, suggesting repeat conviction.

$24,918 on Yes

Three-wallet long-shot push

Three wallets bought $13.1k of 8¢ Sweden Yes shares during a 56x volume spike, including a profitable high-volume wallet and a repeat new large bettor.

  • Three wallets are all buying the same 8¢ long shot, totaling $13.1k on Sweden Yes.
  • One wallet in the group is up $2.7M lifetime across more than 2,300 resolved bets.
  • Market volume is running 56x above its historical average, supporting the idea that this is part of a broader move.

$13,118 on Yes

Sharp sports bettor buying longshot

Sharp sports bettor with a 77% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Sweden Yes at 8%.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $41K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 69 events with the same 77% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 8¢ implies a high-upside longshot if their read on Sweden is right.

$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Elite sports sharp buying longshot

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 89% long-run win rate bought Sweden Yes at 8¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market's liquidity.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 808 events with the same strong 89% hit rate, suggesting repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 8¢ implies a high-upside longshot position if their read is right.

$8,885 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 83468985, $723,425
  2. 0xcde3...534d Outcome 25101538, $299,999
  3. 0x32b4...8b21 Outcome 25101538, $227,785 (59% win rate)
  4. 0x20b8...aa04 Outcome 25101538, $118,300 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xd696...8a49 Outcome 25101538, $111,374 (89% win rate)
  6. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 25101538, $103,311 (63% win rate)
  7. 0x85bb...9ada Outcome 25101538, $62,500 (78% win rate)
  8. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 25101538, $39,878 (65% win rate)
  9. 0xf0df...69c5 Outcome 25101538, $39,747 (46% win rate)
  10. 0xb225...3d54 Outcome 25101538, $38,000 (83% win rate)

Related Theses

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Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

ResolvedFrance vs. Sweden$51,922 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 30, 2026 If Sweden wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
94¢
92¢
90¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

1d ago

$24,918 on Yes at 9¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

1d ago

$13,118 on Yes at 8¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

1d ago

$5,000 on Yes at 8¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

1d ago

$8,885 on Yes at 8¢

Related Theses