Part of: Switzerland vs. Algeria
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $208,441.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
95% winner buying draw
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and linked-wallet backing bought the draw at 22¢.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up about $1.19M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 142 events with the same 95% hit rate.
- 14 wallets share the same funder, adding weight to this wallet’s positioning.
$6,178 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
95% sharp in 14-wallet cluster
A highly profitable 95% lifetime bettor with a large linked-wallet cluster bought $8.2k of Yes despite the market moving sharply lower.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up about $1.19M lifetime.
- A 14-wallet funded cluster is tied to this activity, adding weight to the position.
- They bought $8.2k of Yes at 22¢, while the market now trades near 8¢ after a sharp drop.
$8,157 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
95% winner buying draw
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and linked-wallet backing bought the draw at 22¢.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up about $1.19M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 142 events with the same 95% hit rate.
- 14 wallets share the same funder, adding weight to this wallet’s positioning.
$1,979 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
4-wallet sharp cluster
Four wallets bought the same side, including two proven profitable bettors and high-volume serial traders, pushing No from about 70% to 77%.
- Two proven bettors in this cluster win about 75% of their bets, including one up $2.19M lifetime.
- Four wallets all bought No within minutes, totaling nearly $10K in coordinated one-sided flow.
- They entered around 70¢ and the market has already moved to 77¢, suggesting the trade is being validated.
$9,954 on No
Sharp bettors buying draw
Four wallets bought $21.8k of Yes, including two highly profitable bettors with 98% and 88% historical win rates, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite a liquid market.
- Two proven bettors are on this side: one wins 98% of bets and is up $1.1M, the other wins 88% and is up $754k.
- Four wallets bought $21.8k of Yes together at 22¢, showing one-sided conviction on the draw.
- One buyer is a serial cross-market trader across 55 events with an 88% win record.
$21,771 on Yes
90% serial sports bettor
High-conviction $133k No buy from a serial cross-market sports bettor with a 90% resolved win record, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This bettor has won 18 of 20 resolved positions, with wins coming at roughly coin-flip prices on average.
- They put $133k on No at 71¢, a large single bet even in an active market.
- This wallet has traded 31 events and $1.3M across related markets, suggesting a repeatable sports thesis rather than a one-off punt.
$132,857 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable new whale
A very new wallet with repeated large flagged bets and an 8-0 resolved record is putting $26k on No in this soccer draw market.
- This new bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved bets and already up $26k.
- They have now placed 28 large flagged bets totaling $326k in just over 8 days.
- A $26k buy on No at 70¢ shows strong conviction against the draw.
$26,045 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
81% win-rate bettor
Surface because the bettor has a strong 81% resolved win record with a large edge versus average odds, though the stake is modest and lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor has won 81% of 54 resolved positions, far above their 49¢ average entry odds.
- They bought the draw at 30¢, implying they see Switzerland vs. Algeria as more likely to finish level than the market suggests.
- The $1,500 stake is meaningful but not market-moving in a liquid book.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xefdd...017f — Outcome 52089539, $138,081 (95% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 55421552, $97,276
- 0x801e...ad90 — Outcome 52089539, $45,614 (98% win rate)
- 0x8325...19cc — Outcome 52089539, $28,203 (60% win rate)
- 0xb87b...3626 — Outcome 52089539, $20,000 (50% win rate)
- 0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 52089539, $17,865 (70% win rate)
- 0x0fa5...e160 — Outcome 52089539, $15,775 (88% win rate)
- 0x119b...ac3e — Outcome 52089539, $13,115 (93% win rate)
- 0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 52089539, $12,052 (89% win rate)
- 0x3608...b13d — Outcome 52089539, $12,000 (47% win rate)
Related Theses
Spain wins four nil
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Manchester City will win
Covers 1 related market
