Part of: Switzerland vs. Canada
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?
20 smart money signals detected, totaling $140,765.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
92% winner in draw cluster
Sharp 92% lifetime bettor bought Yes, backed by 8-wallet same-side flow, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $395k lifetime.
- Eight wallets are buying the draw, with $30k of same-side flow on Yes.
- They paid 43¢ for Yes, while the market is now 26¢ after moving against them.
$2,580 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
8-wallet draw push
Surfaced because an 8-wallet one-sided move is backing Yes, led by a profitable serial cross-market trader, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.
- 8 wallets are all buying the draw, totaling about $30K on the same side.
- This bettor has traded 130 events with a 68% record and is up about $26K lifetime.
- The entry was 43¢, but the market is now around 26¢, so the trade has moved sharply against them.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%
17-0 bettor in linked cluster
Sharp 17-0 bettor joined a linked 7-wallet Yes cluster on a liquid soccer draw market, with price already moving from 33¢ entry to 40¢.
- This bettor has won 17 of 17 resolved trades and is profitable lifetime.
- Seven wallets are all buying Yes, including 2 linked wallets, for over $21K total.
- They entered at 33¢ and the market has already moved to 40¢, showing follow-through.
$1,650 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp-backed draw cluster
Six-wallet coordinated buying on the draw is backed by a strong 85% winning wallet, cross-market positioning, and clear price momentum.
- A bettor who wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $66K joined the Yes side.
- Six wallets bought $34K of Yes, with related event positioning totaling $109K across 3 markets.
- The draw price has moved from the mid-30¢ range to 42¢, up 11 points in the last day.
$33,942 on Yes
80% winner buying No
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 80% resolved win record with positive P&L and is buying No on a liquid soccer draw market.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.3k lifetime.
- Their results beat average entry odds by 21 percentage points across 15 resolved bets.
- They bought No at 68¢, implying confidence the match does not end in a draw.
$1,496 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
98% winner buying draw
Surface because a proven sharp wallet with a 56/57 resolved record is buying the draw despite the market being highly liquid.
- This bettor has won 56 of 57 resolved positions and is profitable overall.
- They bought the draw at 33¢, implying a roughly 3x payout if correct.
- The market is very liquid, so the signal is mainly the bettor’s exceptional track record.
$2,065 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
88% win-rate soccer sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought the draw at 33¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $53K lifetime.
- They are a proven cross-market trader across 104 events, with $142K tracked in similar activity.
- Entry at 33¢ implies they see the draw as a ~3x payout opportunity.
$1,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
82% sharp buying draw
Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved win rate bought $21k of Yes on the draw amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is profitable across 11 settled positions.
- They put about $21k on Yes at 32–33¢, a concentrated bet on the draw.
- Market volume is surging 29x above its historical pace before the match.
$20,998 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
92% winner backs No draw
Sharp sports bettor with a 92% record and positive P&L placed a $22.8k bet against the draw in Switzerland vs. Canada.
- This bettor has won 37 of 40 resolved bets and is up $20.3k lifetime.
- They put $22.8k on No at 69¢, a sizable position from a proven sports wallet.
- Market volume is surging 12.8x before the match, adding momentum behind this view.
$22,787 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
92% winner in draw cluster
A highly profitable 92% winner joined a six-wallet Yes cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the draw.
- A bettor who wins 92% of resolved positions and is up $395k bought Yes at 43¢.
- Six wallets put nearly $10k on the draw side in the same window.
- The market has since fallen to 4¢, so this is a much cheaper but clearly high-risk follow.
$9,946 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 39430503, $315,614
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 37383901, $165,965 (91% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 37383901, $148,485 (94% win rate)
- 0x2cf6...9af0 — Outcome 37383901, $64,700 (82% win rate)
- 0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 37383901, $62,500 (88% win rate)
- 0xa66c...cd67 — Outcome 37383901, $22,270 (57% win rate)
- 0x9f7b...7f37 — Outcome 37383901, $19,811 (94% win rate)
- 0x2ce0...8d6f — Outcome 37383901, $18,851 (57% win rate)
- 0xfed7...b06a — Outcome 37383901, $18,286 (54% win rate)
- 0x119b...ac3e — Outcome 37383901, $15,152 (92% win rate)
Related Theses
Spurs Leeds goalfest incoming
Covers 1 related market
Manchester City will win
Covers 1 related market
Braves Reds game goes over
Covers 1 related market
Sweden will not win
Covers 1 related market
Bridges clears 15.5 points
Covers 1 related market
