Part of: Türkiye vs. Italy

Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 28, 2026 If Türkiye wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $62,557.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEFA Nations League, UNL Matchday

Notable Trades

Four-wallet No cluster amid volume surge

Four wallets placed $12.5K on No amid a 41.2x volume spike, creating a notable coordinated directional signal despite no clearly demonstrated edge in the wallet track records.

  • Four wallets put a combined $12,523 on No in the same market.
  • Trading volume was 41.2 times its historical average, suggesting unusually strong activity around this position.
  • The largest bets came from highly active, profitable wallets, though their records do not clearly show an edge at these prices.

$11,374 on No

98% winner adding to Türkiye Yes

A highly profitable bettor with a 98% record added substantial Yes exposure, although sizable No purchases make the position partly hedged.

  • This bettor has won 63 of 64 resolved positions and is up $642,596.
  • They added about $19,000 of Yes at 35¢, building on an existing Yes position, while also buying No as a hedge.
  • The Yes entry was near the current 36¢ price, with a thin 1¢ spread.

$34,194 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

94% winner backs No

A highly profitable bettor with 3,360 resolved positions and a 94% win rate is backing No with $2,046.

  • This bettor has won 3,174 of 3,360 resolved positions and is up $1.67M.
  • They put $2,046 on No at 66¢, in line with the current market price.
  • The wallet has traded across 654 events, showing an extensive track record beyond this match.

$2,046 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

97% winner adding to No

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is adding nearly $15,000 to an existing No position at 64¢.

  • This bettor has won 37 of 38 resolved positions and is up $321,494.
  • They added $14,943 to an existing No position at 64¢; this trade is over four times the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The wallet has traded across 54 events, with a reported 97% win rate.

$14,943 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x922c...d8ba — Yes, $125,000 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $100,809
  3. 0xb52e...285c — Yes, $57,455 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x0e5c...ab50 — Yes, $31,601 (69% win rate)
  5. 0xb8ef...2864 — Yes, $17,705 (80% win rate)
  6. 0xf031...c80c — Yes, $6,829 (89% win rate)
  7. 0x946f...67c1 — Yes, $6,387
  8. 0x43ab...e543 — Yes, $5,250
  9. 0x77fe...a351 — Yes, $4,500 (47% win rate)
  10. 0xeb34...7268 — Yes, $3,542 (2% win rate)

Related Theses

Mees Rottgering will win

Covers 1 related market

Twins beat the Rockies

Covers 1 related market

Dallas Wings win by nine-plus

Covers 1 related market

Azuolas keeps it close

Covers 1 related market

Cerundolo will beat Struff

Covers 1 related market

Berrettini beats Cerundolo

Covers 1 related market

Song Yadong beats Figueiredo

Covers 1 related market

Jovic beats Osaka

Covers 1 related market

Krejcikova beats Linette

Covers 1 related market

Mbappe wins Golden Boot

Covers 1 related market

Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?

Türkiye vs. Italy$62,557 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerUEFA Nations LeagueUNL Matchday
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 28, 2026 If Türkiye wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Notable Trades

Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?

2026-09-28 18:25 UTC

$11,374 on No at 66¢

66¢→100¢↑34¢

Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?

2026-09-28 17:51 UTC

$34,194 on Yes at 35¢

Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?

2026-09-28 15:36 UTC

$2,046 on No at 66¢

66¢→100¢↑34¢

Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?

2026-09-28 03:34 UTC

$14,943 on No at 64¢

64¢→100¢↑36¢

Related Theses