This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $16.2k lifetime. They bought $1.6k of No in a quiet market with only $3.9k traded in the last day. Entry at 71¢ has already moved to 74¢, suggesting the market is following their direction.

Part of: MSI 2026: Winner

Will T1 win MSI 2026?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,399.

Categories: Sports, Esports, league of legends, lol

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader fading T1

Surfacing because a highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate bought $11.8k of No, a sizable position relative to liquidity and recent market flow.

This bettor has won 75% of 3,120 resolved bets and is up $3.48M lifetime.
They bought $11.8k of No, a large bet against $26k of available liquidity.
The market has already moved against T1, with Yes down 7.5 points in the past day.

$11,809 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

90% winner betting No

Proven high-edge wallet with a 90% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record is buying No on T1 winning MSI 2026.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $62.7K lifetime.
They have a long cross-market record: 32 events, 33 markets, and a 90% hit rate.
Buying No at 71¢ means they are fading T1 despite a fairly liquid market.

$1,420 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Elite 93% winner fades T1

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate bought No on T1 winning MSI 2026 at 74¢.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $721k lifetime.
They are a massive serial cross-market trader, with activity across 922 events and nearly $1.9M invested.
Buying No at 74¢ means they are taking the view that T1 is overpriced to win MSI 2026.

$1,209 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Elite 93% winner fades T1

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate bought No on T1 winning MSI 2026 at 74¢.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $721k lifetime.
They are a massive serial cross-market trader, with activity across 922 events and nearly $1.9M invested.
Buying No at 74¢ means they are taking the view that T1 is overpriced to win MSI 2026.

$1,361 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

75% winner buying No

Surfaced because a proven profitable wallet with a 75% record is buying No on a relatively quiet esports futures market.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $16.2k lifetime.
They bought $1.6k of No in a quiet market with only $3.9k traded in the last day.
Entry at 71¢ has already moved to 74¢, suggesting the market is following their direction.

$1,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 54317284, $59,016
0xb10b...0b04 — Outcome 14906909, $51,489 (85% win rate)
0x9a4b...03d6 — Outcome 14906909, $20,000 (100% win rate)
0x515e...8309 — Outcome 14906909, $12,089 (90% win rate)
0x6100...ed95 — Outcome 14906909, $10,000 (94% win rate)
0x511f...cbe1 — Outcome 14906909, $5,298 (49% win rate)
0x0b89...a4cd — Outcome 14906909, $2,940 (80% win rate)
0x25c3...f002 — Outcome 14906909, $2,363
0xb0f6...a31c — Outcome 14906909, $2,129 (55% win rate)
0x7a0f...1305 — Outcome 14906909, $2,100 (91% win rate)

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Will T1 win MSI 2026?

ResolvedMSI 2026: Winner $17,399 tracked5 signalsSportsEsportsleague of legendslol

This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at the 2026 Mid-Season Invitational (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.