Part of: The International 2026: Winner
Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?
This Polymarket prediction market asks whether TEAM VISION will finish first at The International 2026, scheduled for August 13–23, 2026. Live Yes/No odds may change as traders update their positions; the market resolves using official Dotabuff information, or to “Other” if no winner is confirmed by September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $135,981.
Categories: Dota2, Dota 2, Sports, Esports, The International
Notable Trades
Extreme pre-event volume spike
A sizable No position coincided with an extreme 5,082x historical volume spike, though the highly liquid market and trader's 60% win rate provide only moderate conviction.
- A $16.8K bet on No arrived during a volume surge 5,082 times above its historical average.
- The trader has placed over $1B across 2,306 markets, but their 60% win rate does not clearly show an edge at a 66¢ average winning price.
- The No position is slightly contrarian after the market gained 14.5% over the past week.
$51,927 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Extreme pre-event volume spike
A sizable No position coincided with an extreme 5,082x historical volume spike, though the highly liquid market and trader's 60% win rate provide only moderate conviction.
- A $16.8K bet on No arrived during a volume surge 5,082 times above its historical average.
- The trader has placed over $1B across 2,306 markets, but their 60% win rate does not clearly show an edge at a 66¢ average winning price.
- The No position is slightly contrarian after the market gained 14.5% over the past week.
$16,815 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp bettor leads $51K No cluster
Three wallets committed $51.6K to No, including a highly profitable 89% winner, amid an extreme volume spike.
- A bettor with an 89% win rate across 195 resolved positions bought No, with a reported 33% edge over implied odds.
- Three wallets committed $51,577 to No within minutes, representing nearly all of the market’s recent $57,418 volume.
- The No shares were bought around 38–42¢ while the market is still pricing Yes at 60%, creating meaningful upside if the team does not win.
$51,577 on No
89% winner adds to No
A highly profitable bettor with an 89% win rate and $937,560 lifetime profit is adding $7,662 to an existing No position at 38¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of 195 resolved trades and is up $937,560 lifetime.
- They added $7,662 to an existing No position at 38¢, bringing total investment to $27,370.
- The wallet has traded across 61 events and 77 markets, indicating a broad, repeatable track record rather than a one-off bet.
$7,662 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
95% win-rate bettor adds to Yes
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is adding $6,000 to an existing Yes position at 72¢.
- This bettor has won 20 of 21 resolved trades, earning $12,639 on $366,234 invested.
- They are adding $6,000 to an existing Yes position at 72¢ rather than merely taking profits.
- The market has already risen 15% in one day and 25.5% in a week, reinforcing the bullish positioning.
$6,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp bettor scaling into Yes
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and 44-point edge is adding $2,000 to an existing Yes position at 42%.
- This bettor has won 13 of 14 resolved trades and is up $4,481 on $51,428 invested.
- They are adding $2,000 to an existing $4,783 Yes position at 42%, signaling increased conviction.
- The 42¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value versus the market's 41% probability.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x63bc...92c5 — Outcome 88097925, $167,092 (69% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 58024447, $127,690
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 88097925, $69,980 (70% win rate)
- 0xf3be...12cc — Outcome 88097925, $31,578 (95% win rate)
- 0xee00...cea1 — Outcome 88097925, $12,353 (58% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — Outcome 88097925, $11,110 (74% win rate)
- 0x934a...a684 — Outcome 88097925, $8,297 (95% win rate)
- 0x39aa...583c — Outcome 88097925, $7,141 (48% win rate)
- 0xeab6...9ba7 — Outcome 88097925, $5,878 (93% win rate)
- 0x9b39...7658 — Outcome 88097925, $5,562 (87% win rate)
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