Part of: Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite will successfully launch from its launch pad by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to “Yes” if launch is confirmed by official SpaceX video or other reliable sources, and “No” otherwise. PolySpotter is tracking $8,554 in smart money activity, with a recent sharp signal showing million-dollar buying on “Yes.”
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $8,554.
Categories: Space, Culture, SpaceX, Science
Notable Trades
Million-dollar sharp buying YES
A highly profitable sharp wallet with an 86% win rate made a fresh $8.6k equivalent BUY Yes in a nearly inactive market, despite only a modest low-activity signal.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up over $1.0M lifetime.
- They put $8.6k into a market with almost no recent volume, suggesting strong conviction.
- Selling No at 86¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 14¢, a contrarian bet versus the current 11% market odds.
$8,554 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0xfa21...1438 — No, $262,226 (86% win rate)
- 0xe74d...22fd — Yes, $111,798 (33% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Yes, $28,025 (52% win rate)
- 0x0c1b...bcaf — Yes, $17,835
- 0xb363...d77e — Yes, $15,965
- 0x4cf1...ee98 — Yes, $15,028
- 0x7e41...ca06 — Yes, $13,207 (69% win rate)
- 0x6d68...7960 — Yes, $13,051
- 0xddb8...4442 — Yes, $11,820
- 0x9ff6...e900 — Yes, $11,062
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