Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,549.

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying KO/TKO

Three wallets, including profitable sharp bettors and a repeat new whale, bought the same side on a relatively thin UFC method-of-victory market with immediate price movement.

One wallet in this cluster wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $25.8K lifetime.
A newer wallet is already up $17.9K and has now been flagged 11 times for large bets.
Three wallets bought $7K of Yes around 74–75¢, pushing the market to 82¢.

$7,024 on Yes

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume bettor with a long cross-market track record bought Yes on a thin UFC finish-prop market with a bet equal to 83% of 24h volume.

This bettor has won 70% of 1,206 resolved bets and is up $264K lifetime.
The $2.5K buy is large for this market, equal to 83% of the past day’s volume.
Buying at 74¢ suggests confidence that KO/TKO is still underpriced despite already being favored.

$2,524 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

0x224f...514a — Outcome 34647551, $11,714 (84% win rate)
0x2d8a...e818 — Outcome 34647551, $491 (72% win rate)
0x168a...da29 — Outcome 34647551, $216 (82% win rate)
0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 34647551, $144
0x9d5b...1578 — Outcome 34647551, $74
0xe732...898f — Outcome 34647551, $63 (64% win rate)
0x83ed...dc0f — Outcome 34647551, $62
0xf5cc...974e — Outcome 34647551, $55
0x7300...e52c — Outcome 34647551, $44
0x28da...fad3 — Outcome 34647551, $40 (84% win rate)

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Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

ResolvedUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$9,549 tracked2 signalsSportsUFCGames

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.