Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Will the fight be won by submission?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,234.

Notable Trades

Sharp UFC bettor buying No

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and $353k lifetime profit bought $6.2k of No, a large share of this market's daily volume.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $353k lifetime.
They placed $6.2k on No, equal to about 80% of this market’s 24h volume.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 62 events, suggesting this is part of a broader fight thesis.

$6,234 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

0x224f...514a — Outcome 50780262, $7,500 (84% win rate)
0x7358...1d32 — Outcome 50780262, $2,770 (69% win rate)
0xf9b7...60a4 — Outcome 50780262, $2,000 (65% win rate)
0x4c31...5240 — Outcome 50780262, $1,000 (97% win rate)
0x2d8a...e818 — Outcome 50780262, $604 (72% win rate)
0xc74d...bb53 — Outcome 50780262, $556 (91% win rate)
0x8542...9405 — Outcome 50780262, $336
0xdcdd...e99e — Outcome 50780262, $304
0x2836...c511 — Outcome 50780262, $301 (64% win rate)
0x2e5f...6128 — Outcome 50780262, $294

Related Theses

Brazil dominates, Haiti stays quiet

Covers 5 related markets

Will the fight be won by submission?

ResolvedUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$6,234 tracked1 signalSportsUFCGames

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.