Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Will the fight be won by submission?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,234.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp UFC bettor buying No

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and $353k lifetime profit bought $6.2k of No, a large share of this market's daily volume.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $353k lifetime.
They placed $6.2k on No, equal to about 80% of this market’s 24h volume.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 62 events, suggesting this is part of a broader fight thesis.

$6,234 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%