Part of: Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?
This market will resolve to the individual identified as the primary creator of Bitcoin by the “Finding Satoshi” documentary expected to release on April 22 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVxAwomug08). If the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin. If multiple individuals are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "Other". If the documentary is not released by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,046.
Categories: Satoshi, Bitcoin, Crypto, rewards 200, 4.5, 20
Notable Trades
95% winner fading hype
A bettor with an exceptional 95% win rate bought No into a fast-moving documentary market after a 31-point daily surge, making this a notable fade of the current consensus despite the weak raw alert score.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades with 188 bets tracked
- They bought No at 38¢ after the market jumped 31 points in a day, fading the recent move
- A $2.0k buy is meaningful in a market with just $9.3k of 24-hour volume
$2,046 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $13,981
- 0xa7d1...8749 — Yes, $1,234
- 0x36c6...0350 — Yes, $1,126
- 0xda23...3421 — Yes, $1,111
- 0x8c76...06ac — Yes, $862 (74% win rate)
- 0xb32a...1b31 — Yes, $848
- 0xd860...32ab — Yes, $600
- 0x1f55...0d9d — Yes, $590
- 0x0022...b7e5 — Yes, $577
- 0x4fd2...48e6 — Yes, $295 (63% win rate)
