Part of: Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 15?

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 15?

This Polymarket weather market asks whether the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport will fall in the 18°C outcome range on June 15, 2026. It resolves using Wunderground’s daily history data for station SBGR, and PolySpotter currently tracks $1,470 in smart money activity for this market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,470.

Categories: Weather, Recurring, Sao Paulo, Daily Temperature, Highest temperature

Notable Trades

98% winner in thin market

Surface despite the weak standalone signal because this wallet has an exceptional 98% resolved-bet record with positive lifetime P&L and made an oversized bet in a very quiet market.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 543 resolved bets and is up about $15k lifetime.
  • They put $1.47k on No in a quiet market, more than the entire prior day's volume.
  • The 75¢ entry shows strong conviction that 18°C was overpriced.

$1,470 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1633...190c No, $5,852
  2. 0xc7d0...1f8a Yes, $3,211
  3. 0x6c4a...31e3 Yes, $2,123
  4. 0x95dc...4b45 No, $1,064
  5. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $867
  6. 0x8fbd...a959 Yes, $530
  7. 0x43cb...84df Yes, $262
  8. 0x5a21...9318 Yes, $250 (46% win rate)
  9. 0x52eb...67ac Yes, $250
  10. 0x4d07...2b94 No, $200

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 15?

5hHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 15?$1,470 tracked1 signalWeatherRecurringHide From NewSao PauloDaily TemperatureHighest temperature
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Price History — “No
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 15?

2h ago

$1,470 on No at 75¢

75¢100¢25¢