Part of: Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 31?
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
This Polymarket weather market tracks whether the highest temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station will be 29°C on May 31, 2026. It resolves using Wunderground’s daily history data for station ZGSZ, with resolution scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 12:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $1,897 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,942.
Categories: Weather, Recurring, Daily Temperature, Shenzhen, Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (2), Highest temperature
Notable Trades
96% winner buying late
Despite only a weak price-impact signal, the wallet has a very large positive resolved history and is buying Yes near same-day weather resolution after a major odds move.
- This bettor has won 96% of 1,047 resolved bets and is up $6.7k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 84¢ on a market that has moved sharply toward Yes today.
- Same-day weather markets can reward fast data checks, and this trade came hours before scheduled resolution.
$1,897 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%
High-win weather bettor
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the wallet has a very large resolved history, 96% winners, and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has 1,047 resolved trades with 96% winners and is up $6.7k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 82¢ on a same-day weather market, suggesting confidence in a specific temperature print.
- The market has moved sharply today, up 59 percentage points, but current pricing is below their entry.
$1,045 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $6,161
- 0x116d...fbf1 — Yes, $5,394 (96% win rate)
- 0x9ce1...bf19 — Yes, $3,788
- 0x4658...4131 — No, $3,750 (83% win rate)
- 0xd25b...9f3d — No, $3,050 (100% win rate)
- 0xa821...0bc8 — Yes, $2,193
- 0x9470...989d — No, $1,262
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Yes, $1,193
- 0xe2be...ff33 — Yes, $1,168
- 0xfffb...95c8 — Yes, $972
