Part of: Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?
This prediction market asks whether the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 13, 2026 will fall in the 26°C range. It resolves using the finalized “Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)” in the Hong Kong Observatory Daily Extract, with resolution expected after the data is published. PolySpotter is tracking $1,320 in smart money and 1 recent signal for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,320.
Categories: Weather, Recurring, Daily Temperature, Hong Kong, Lowest temperature
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor in thin market
Sharp-wallet override: despite only a weak low-liquidity signal, this bettor has an 89% resolved-bet record and made a large No bet in a thin weather market.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets, with 213 wins across 239 markets.
- The $1.3k No buy is larger than the market’s listed liquidity, suggesting high conviction in a thin order book.
- The position has moved sharply against the entry, so this is most useful as a sharp-wallet watch rather than clean momentum.
$1,320 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0x1e3f...675c — No, $11,343
- 0x0a56...3e1c — Yes, $10,843
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $3,826
- 0x0d2e...f1a2 — No, $2,318
- 0x1041...f452 — Yes, $2,018 (87% win rate)
- 0x7300...e52c — Yes, $734
- 0xe907...cff6 — Yes, $517 (47% win rate)
- 0x43cb...84df — Yes, $500
- 0x5a21...9318 — Yes, $214 (46% win rate)
- 0x7c7d...4dea — Yes, $200
