What does this Bitcoin prediction market measure?

This market measures whether Bitcoin's price will be above $72,000 at exactly 12:00 PM ET on April 14, using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle's final close price.

How does the market resolve?

It resolves to Yes if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 PM ET on April 14 has a final close above $72,000. It resolves to No if the close is $72,000 or lower.

What price source is used for settlement?

The official resolution source is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT market with the 1-minute candle view. The deciding value is the final Close price for the noon ET candle.

When does this Polymarket expire?

The market is set to resolve on April 14, 2026, after the relevant Binance price data for the 12:00 PM ET candle is available and finalized.

What does current smart money activity suggest?

Tracked smart money activity is limited but currently shows cautious sentiment, including a recent alert about a sharp bettor buying No. As always, these signals are informative rather than definitive.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin's Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET on April 14 will finish above $72,000. The market resolves to Yes if that official close is higher than $72,000, and No if it is at or below that level. It is scheduled to resolve on April 14, 2026, with smart money activity showing a recent lean toward the No side.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,483.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor buys NO

A proven sharp wallet with an 81% win rate and nearly $200k profit is taking a fresh contrarian position on Bitcoin staying below $72,000 at 20¢.

This bettor wins 81% of their trades and is up about $199k across 42 resolved markets
They bought NO at 20¢ even after this market jumped 43 points in a day, a clear contrarian entry
A 20¢ entry implies they see Bitcoin above $72,000 as overpriced and NO as a roughly 4x payoff setup

$1,708 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

82% winner fading spike

A serial cross-market trader with an 82% win rate bought No into a huge volume spike after a sharp 1-day move, making this a notable momentum-fade setup worth tracking.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved markets across 35 events and is active across 49 markets.
They bought No at 40¢ while this market had a 2060x volume spike and a 25.5-point one-day price jump.
Entry at 40¢ means they are betting Bitcoin stays below $72,000 despite the market trading up to 62¢ Yes.

$3,775 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%