What does this Bitcoin prediction market measure?

This market measures whether Bitcoin will be trading above $74,000 at exactly 12:00 PM ET on April 14, 2026, using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle's final close price.

How does the market resolve?

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 PM ET on April 14 has a final close above $74,000. If the close is $74,000 or lower, it resolves to No.

Why does the exact candle close matter?

Because this is a time-specific crypto price market, only the official Binance 1-minute candle close at noon ET determines the outcome. Bitcoin could trade above or below that level earlier or later without affecting resolution.

When will this Polymarket resolve?

The listed resolution date is April 14, 2026 at 16:00:00+00:00, which corresponds to 12:00 PM ET on the date named in the market.

What smart money activity is being tracked on this market?

PolySpotter is tracking $5,233 in smart money on this market, with 1 smart money signal so far. A recent alert mentions a 91% win-rate BTC bettor, which may be relevant for traders watching experienced market participants.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin's price will be above $74,000 on April 14, 2026. It resolves based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET that day, with a result of Yes if the final close is higher than $74,000 and No otherwise. PolySpotter is currently tracking $5,233 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent signal tied to a 91% win-rate BTC bettor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,233.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

91% win-rate BTC bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and $1.9M profit bought No at 83¢ on this BTC threshold market, and the trade is large relative to recent market activity.

This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $1.9M across 821 resolved markets
They bought No at 83¢, a high-conviction position that matches their usual winning price range
This $5.2k order was 177% of the market's recent volume, so it carried real weight in a relatively quiet book

$5,233 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%