Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 20?
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin's price will be above $78,000 on April 20, 2026. It resolves based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle's final close at 12:00 PM ET that day, with "Yes" if the close is higher than $78,000 and "No" otherwise. Traders watching Bitcoin prediction market odds may also note recent smart money activity, including a sharp bettor buying the dip.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,064.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor buying dip
A proven sharp wallet with an 81% win rate and nearly $200k profit bought the long-shot Yes side at 13¢ after a steep one-day drop, making this a notable copy-trade despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $199k overall
- They bought Yes at 13¢ after the market fell 24.5% in a day, signaling a contrarian entry
- At 13¢, the bet only needs to hit about 1 in 8 times to break even
$1,064 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xd57d...80d0 — Yes, $19,443 (81% win rate)
- 0x3885...ca77 — No, $13,068 (55% win rate)
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — No, $6,872 (58% win rate)
- 0xafe6...8192 — Yes, $3,255 (84% win rate)
- 0xb6fe...7394 — No, $2,648
- 0xe9b0...f834 — Yes, $1,572
- 0x4ee2...46e1 — No, $1,210 (66% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Yes, $1,065
- 0x19fc...b4e3 — No, $1,051
- 0xfd7c...46d9 — Yes, $611 (89% win rate)
