What is the Bitcoin above $78,000 on May 22 prediction market?

This market lets traders predict whether Bitcoin will be above $78,000 at noon ET on May 22, 2026, using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close as the resolution source.

How does this Polymarket Bitcoin market resolve?

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 PM ET on May 22 has a final close price higher than $78,000. If the close is $78,000 or lower, it resolves to No.

What data source is used to determine the outcome?

Resolution is based on Binance BTC/USDT close prices, specifically the 1-minute candlestick data available on Binance with the 1m and Candles settings selected.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking for this market?

PolySpotter is currently tracking $3,259 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal, including alerts tied to a repeat new crypto bettor and a profitable BTC cross-market bettor.

Why do traders watch Bitcoin price prediction markets like this?

Markets like this provide real-time crowd-implied odds on specific Bitcoin price levels, helping traders compare market sentiment, crypto volatility, and smart money positioning ahead of the resolution time.

Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 22?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?

This Bitcoin prediction market asks whether BTC/USDT will close above $78,000 on Binance’s 1-minute candle at 12:00 PM ET on May 22, 2026. It resolves Yes only if that candle’s final close price is higher than $78,000; otherwise it resolves No. PolySpotter is tracking $3,259 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,859.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Repeat new crypto bettor

A repeat new wallet with early profits made a $3.3k bearish BTC bet amid a 19x volume spike before tomorrow's resolution.

A 26-day-old wallet is making its second flagged large bet, backing No with $3.3k.
The wallet is up $847 on 2 resolved bets, so the track record is early but positive.
Market volume is running 19x above its usual pace ahead of tomorrow’s BTC close.

$3,259 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable BTC cross-market bettor

A highly active, lifetime-profitable wallet is making a $7.6k equivalent BUY Yes as part of a $20.6k cross-market Bitcoin thesis, though the signal is moderate rather than exceptional.

This wallet is up $814k lifetime across more than $35M traded.
The trade is part of a $20.6k position across two related Bitcoin markets.
Selling No at 76¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 24¢, below the current 26¢ odds.

$7,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%