What is the Bitcoin above $78,000 on May 25 market?

This prediction market is about whether Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT price on Binance will be above $78,000 at exactly noon ET on May 25, 2026, using the final close of the 12:00 1-minute candle.

How does this Polymarket resolve?

The market resolves to “Yes” if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 PM ET on May 25 has a final close price higher than $78,000. If the close is $78,000 or lower, it resolves to “No.”

What price source is used for settlement?

Settlement uses Binance BTC/USDT candle data, specifically the 1-minute chart with candles selected. The relevant value is the official close price of the 12:00 PM ET candle.

When does the Bitcoin $78K market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve on May 25, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, which corresponds to 12:00 PM ET, based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter currently tracks $3,000 in smart money exposure and 1 signal for this market, including a recent alert tied to a profitable serial crypto bettor.

Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 25?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?

This Polymarket Bitcoin market asks whether BTC/USDT will close above $78,000 on Binance’s 1-minute candle at 12:00 PM ET on May 25, 2026. It resolves “Yes” only if that candle’s final close price is higher than $78,000; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter is tracking $3,000 in smart money across 1 signal, including activity from a profitable serial crypto bettor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,000.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Profitable serial crypto bettor

Profitable high-volume crypto bettor put $3k on No in a quiet BTC market, nearly 10x the market's 24h volume.

This bettor has a long record: 2,196 resolved trades and $291k in lifetime profit.
The $3k No buy is nearly 10x this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet book.
Entry at 60¢ implies they see Bitcoin staying at or below $78k as meaningfully underpriced.

$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%