Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will be above $80,000 on April 25, 2026, using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET as the final resolution price. Traders use this market to gauge short-term Bitcoin price odds around a specific strike and time. PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,787 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal tied to this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,787.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

91% win-rate BTC longshot

A small but notable bet from a wallet with an exceptional 91% win rate hit a thin Bitcoin market at 17¢, suggesting a sharp trader sees the long-shot Yes side as underpriced.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades, an unusually strong record over 23 bets
  • They bought Yes at 17¢ in a market with only $700 of 24-hour volume, so this single trade was 2.6x the day's activity
  • Entry at 17¢ means they only need Bitcoin above $80,000 by April 25 if the true odds are meaningfully higher than the market's 16% price

$1,787 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa319...9e56 — Yes, $10,300 (91% win rate)
  2. 0xe9c6...95c9 — No, $6,873 (49% win rate)
  3. 0x6e1d...d0fa — No, $6,460 (58% win rate)
  4. 0xfd7c...46d9 — Yes, $2,918 (89% win rate)
  5. 0xd4aa...d40c — Yes, $847
  6. 0x7621...ef40 — Yes, $650
  7. 0xe0aa...89ad — No, $454
  8. 0xb6fe...7394 — No, $450
  9. 0x0ddd...5cf8 — No, $175
  10. 0xc568...916d — No, $140

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?

4d$1,787 tracked1 signalBitcoinWeeklyMulti StrikesCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From New
Yes
16¢
No
84¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Price History — “No”
94¢
87¢
81¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?

2h ago

$1,787 on Yes at 17¢

17¢→16¢↓1¢