Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 10?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?
This prediction market asks whether Bitcoin will be above $80,000 on May 10, resolving based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET. It resolves to Yes only if that candle’s final close price is higher than $80,000; otherwise it resolves to No. PolySpotter is tracking $20,391 in smart money activity across 3 signals, including profitable BTC flow and a serial crypto trader flipping Yes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,391.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Profitable serial crypto trader
A highly active cross-market trader with nearly $400k profit is buying Yes amid a major BTC market volume and price spike, though the entry is already near current odds.
- This bettor has traded 1,455 resolved markets and is up about $400k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 38 events and over $520k recently flagged.
- The market has seen a 35x volume spike and Yes is up 18 points in the last day.
$2,095 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial trader flips Yes
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with $365k profit is flipping from a prior No position into a $5.4k Yes buy amid a major volume spike and 18-point daily price move.
- This bettor is up $365k across 1,597 resolved trades and has traded 226 related markets.
- They flipped from a closed No position into a fresh $5.4k Yes buy at 85¢.
- Market activity is surging, with volume 35x above normal and Yes up 18 points in 24 hours.
$5,413 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable BTC flow cluster
Three wallets, including high-volume profitable serial cross-market traders, bought $12.9k of Yes amid a 43x volume spike and sharp 1-day price move.
- Three wallets bought $12.9k of Yes at 85¢ in the same short window.
- Two are seasoned cross-market traders with 58–60% win rates and over $760k combined profit.
- Market volume is running 43x normal and Yes has moved up 18 points in the last day.
$12,883 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x5faf...1183 — No, $25,000 (32% win rate)
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — Yes, $22,380 (58% win rate)
- 0xf613...b2db — No, $15,896
- 0x8970...36b5 — Yes, $14,043 (33% win rate)
- 0xe6cf...cade — No, $7,017 (76% win rate)
- 0x3690...e16f — Yes, $5,938
- 0x8be4...b795 — Yes, $5,559 (71% win rate)
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — No, $4,697 (60% win rate)
- 0xb4fc...a926 — No, $3,578 (51% win rate)
- 0xdb5a...3965 — Yes, $2,829 (61% win rate)
Related Theses
Bitcoin tops $80,000 by May 10
Covers 1 related market
